The Phoenix Suns aim to extend their winning streak to four games when they face the Miami Heat in Miami on Tuesday night. Phoenix enters with a 24-15 record, while the Heat stand at 20-19. Miami is favored by one point in the matchup at Kaseya Center.
The Phoenix Suns (24-15), second in the Pacific Division, have won three straight games, including a 112-93 victory over Washington on Sunday. They hold a 4-2 record against Eastern Conference opponents this season. The Miami Heat (20-19), second in the Southeast Division, are coming off a 124-112 loss at Oklahoma City on the same day and have an 8-8 mark against Western Conference teams.
Tipoff is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET at Kaseya Center in Miami. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, the Heat are 1-point favorites, with an over/under total of 230.5 points. The moneyline lists Miami at -114 and Phoenix at -105.
The Suns will be without guard Jalen Green due to a hamstring injury. SportsLine's projection model, which has gone 34-15 on top-rated NBA spread picks dating back to last season, simulated the game 10,000 times. It predicts the over on 230.5 points, hitting nearly 60% of the time, based on trends like the over occurring in the last two head-to-head meetings and four of Miami's last eight games.
Phoenix is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10 games, while the Heat are 6-4 ATS over the same span. The model projects Suns guard Devin Booker to average 26.7 points, with five Phoenix players scoring 12.8 or more. For Miami, forward Norman Powell is questionable with a back issue but projected for 21.8 points, alongside six Heat players at 13.4 points or higher.
The model also has an against-the-spread pick hitting in over 50% of simulations, though specific winner details are available via SportsLine.