San Felipe Stakes
Tampa Bay and San Felipe Upsets Shake Up 2026 Kentucky Derby Trail
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Long shots The Puma (Tampa Bay Derby) and Potente (San Felipe Stakes) stunned favorites on March 9, each earning 50 points and vaulting into contention on the Road to the Kentucky Derby leaderboard amid a wide-open trail.
Bob Baffert-trained Potente won the San Felipe Stakes at Santa Anita on Saturday at 8-1 odds in his second career start, propelling him to No. 7 in the NTRA 3-year-old rankings. This upset, along with other recent wins by lightly raced horses, has reshuffled contention for the May 2 Kentucky Derby. Potente is now the 15-1 fifth choice in Derby future wagering.
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Potente rallied late to win the Grade 2 San Felipe Stakes by a head over 67-1 longshot Robusta at Santa Anita Park, earning 50 Kentucky Derby qualifying points and a 90 Beyer Speed Figure. Third-place So Happy and fourth-place Secured Freedom drew praise from their connections, who reported the horses in good shape and plan to enter them in the Grade 1 Santa Anita Derby on April 4.