インド株、AI投資トレンドの中でアジアの競合に後れ

近年の市場において、近隣諸国の株式市場が上昇を記録する一方で、インド株は下落している。この乖離は、アジアの他地域でチップメーカーを押し上げた人工知能関連支出の世界的急増に起因している。

海外投資家は、サムスン電子やSKハイニックスなど、人工知能に直接関与している企業へ資本をシフトさせている。これらの企業は、半導体需要に関連した堅調な企業業績から恩恵を受けている。

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Illustration of rising Asian stocks and oil prices amid US-Iran tensions
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Asian stocks advance as oil rises amid us-iran tensions

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Asian stocks climbed higher on Monday, led by companies focused on artificial intelligence, despite escalating concerns over Middle East stability. Oil prices jumped after President Donald Trump rejected Iran's response to a US peace proposal as unacceptable. The developments come amid a 10-week-old conflict between the two nations.

Asian stocks experienced a slight retreat from their recent peaks following a downturn in Wall Street markets. The decline was influenced by a subdued investor response to Nvidia's latest earnings report. Despite the pullback, Asian equities have outperformed global benchmarks throughout the year.

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Investor jitters are growing in the US as AI reshapes expectations, but China's markets have so far reacted with caution rather than panic. Artificial intelligence is already reshaping industries and markets, even though artificial general intelligence (AGI) has yet to be achieved. China's tech stocks have largely held steady amid recent domestic AI advancements.

Indian defence stocks have demonstrated resilience in the face of global market volatility, surpassing the performance of the Nifty index. Investors anticipate higher defence expenditures driven by rising tensions in West Asia and India's neighbourhood. Firms focused on defensive and offensive systems are drawing notable investor attention.

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Following initial market shocks from West Asia conflict, Indian equities saw major foreign investor outflows and remain volatile amid rising oil prices. FPIs withdrew $751.4 million on March 2—the largest daily pullout in four months—with markets resuming post-Holi holiday on March 4 under continued pressure.

BNP Paribas analyst Kumar Rakesh has cautioned investors against viewing largecap Indian IT stocks as a straightforward value play. He points to weak FY27 guidance, AI-led disruptions, and stalled client spending as major challenges. Buybacks and dividends offer some support, but earnings risks remain high.

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Billionaire investor Paul Tudor Jones says the current AI-driven rally in global markets could last another year or two. He drew parallels to the early dominance of Microsoft and the commercialization of the internet. At the same time, he warned of a possible sharp downturn resembling the aftermath of the dot-com bubble.

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