Illustration of Bolsonaro allies clashing outside Papudinha prison amid tensions over 2026 election candidacies.
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Bolsonaro allies clash over Papudinha transfer and 2026 race

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Following Jair Bolsonaro's transfer to Brasília's Papudinha facility, tensions erupted among his supporters over the 2026 elections, with public spats between backers of Flávio Bolsonaro and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Tarcísio confirmed efforts for house arrest, but the move fueled clan divisions as allies push for candidacies.

The transfer of former President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) to the 19th Military Police Battalion (Papudinha) on January 15 addressed family concerns over detention conditions at Federal Police headquarters, including space for medical needs after a recent fall.

São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas (Republicanos) revealed in a Friday interview that he had contacted Supreme Court (STF) ministers since late 2025 to secure house arrest for Bolsonaro. "Our request was for house arrest," he said, though he and Michelle Bolsonaro still prefer home detention.

Allies like pastor Silas Malafaia praised the effort on social media: "Congratulations to Michelle and Tarcísio for getting Bolsonaro to a better place." Former Communications Secretary Fabio Wajngarten echoed: "Michelle and Tarcísio are giants defending Bolsonaro's health."

Yet the development intensified rifts. Rio Councilor Carlos Bolsonaro indirectly criticized Tarcísio: "The true intent is to measure forces with Jair Bolsonaro." Wajngarten defended Tarcísio and attacked Flávio Bolsonaro supporter Filipe Sabará, who retorted comparing a handwritten note from Bolsonaro to 'forced alliances.'

Behind the scenes, some allies urge Flávio to yield the 2026 presidential bid to Tarcísio, viewed as stronger against President Lula (PT). Tarcísio insists on re-election in São Paulo. A video of his economic critique, liked by Michelle, amplified backlash.

That evening, Justice Alexandre de Moraes quipped at a São Paulo event: "I think today I already did what I had to do," prompting laughter. Deputy Nikolas Ferreira (PL-MG) condemned it as hubris.

Papudinha's 65 m² cell dwarfs most new São Paulo apartments. The topic garnered 20.2 million X impressions, with 'Papudinha' trending 9th—34% below Bolsonaro's prior PF fall.

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Reactions on X reveal tensions among Bolsonaro's allies post-Papudinha transfer, with accusations that Michelle and Tarcísio orchestrated it to undermine Flávio's 2026 presidential bid. Supporters express skepticism and division, favoring either Flávio or Tarcísio, while some view the move as strategically boosting right-wing unity. News reports highlight public clashes between factions.

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Illustration depicting Jair Bolsonaro's police-escorted transfer to Papudinha prison in Brasília after STF order amid detention complaints.
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STF transfers Bolsonaro to Papudinha in Brasília

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STF Minister Alexandre de Moraes ordered on Thursday (15) the transfer of former President Jair Bolsonaro from the Federal Police Superintendence to the 19th PM Battalion, known as Papudinha, in Brasília. The decision follows family complaints about detention conditions and a recent mild cranial trauma suffered by Bolsonaro. Left-wing politicians mocked the change, highlighting the symbolism of the location.

São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas canceled a planned visit to former President Jair Bolsonaro in prison on Thursday (22) to avoid what allies call a 'kiss of death'. The decision followed statements by Senator Flávio Bolsonaro about his presidential candidacy and expected support for it. The visit would have been the first since Flávio's announcement as Jair's candidate against Lula.

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Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ), a declared presidential candidate for 2026, posted a video on Saturday (17) urging unity among right-wing leaders following recent public spats. He praised former first lady Michelle Bolsonaro and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas, along with other allied governors. Flávio emphasized the need for a shared focus against the Lula government, without internal attacks.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) announced on Friday (5) that he was chosen by his father, former President Jair Bolsonaro, as the presidential candidate in 2026. The decision strengthens the family's influence in the Bolsonarista camp and draws reactions from the PT, which sees benefits for Lula. On Saturday (6), Argentine President Javier Milei expressed support for the pre-candidacy.

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The dismissal of allies of former Security Secretary Guilherme Derrite has sparked tension between Bolsonaro supporters and São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas. Flávio Bolsonaro's allies view the firings as a break and betrayal. At least 14 people linked to Derrite were removed by direct order from the governor.

A poll released early in 2026 shows President Lula leading in electoral scenarios, with Tarcísio de Freitas as the only opponent tying in the second round. The survey highlights the persistence of polarization between Lula and bolsonarismo, with no clear space for a third way. Analysts note that the election will be decided by rejections, amid challenges like incumbent fatigue and effects of judicial convictions.

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Former President Jair Bolsonaro was preventively arrested by the Federal Police on Saturday (22) in Brasília after tampering with his ankle monitor and with flight risk identified by STF Justice Alexandre de Moraes. The decision comes at the end of the trial for the 2022 coup attempt. Allies reacted with surprise, while the Lula government sees political wear on bolsonarism.

 

 

 

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