Colombian peso posts highest revaluation among emerging markets

The dollar closed Friday at 3,475.78 pesos, its lowest level since January 2021, driven by local and international factors.

The Colombian peso has revalued 19.4 % against the dollar over the past twelve months, the largest appreciation among emerging-market currencies. It is followed by the Hungarian forint at 14 % and the Russian ruble at 10.5 %.

Since Gustavo Petro took office, the dollar has fallen nearly 20 %. This performance has only been seen in two earlier periods since 2000.

Analysts attribute the peso’s strength to several factors. These include oil prices near 90 dollars per barrel, high local interest rates and record remittance flows.

Andrés Pardo, head of Macroeconomic Strategy for Latin America at XP Investments, noted that recent days were also influenced by reduced risk aversion due to possible U.S.-Iran agreements and expectations of a political shift toward more market-friendly policies.

관련 기사

Between May 1 and 15, the Colombian peso recorded a 3.84% depreciation, the largest among 22 emerging currencies. The dollar reached 3,796.78 pesos, driven by purchases from the Finance Ministry and electoral uncertainty.

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President Gustavo Petro stated that the strong revaluation of the Colombian peso, with the dollar at $3,578 on Tuesday, stems from the Banco de la República's interest rate hike. He noted it cheapens external debt and imports but raises export costs. Petro warned it could undermine poverty reduction efforts.

The Mexican peso ended the session up 0.15% against the dollar at 17.76 pesos per unit, per Banco de México data. Traders assessed the feasibility of a ceasefire in Iran ahead of Banxico's monetary policy decision on Thursday. Analysts forecast the currency to hold in a 17.65-17.85 pesos per dollar range.

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The Philippine peso closed at P61.30 against the US dollar on Tuesday, April 28, marking a new record low amid global uncertainties from the Middle East conflict.

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