Stock Forecast
Analysts forecast uncertain path for Tesla stock in 2026
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Tesla's stock faces a pivotal year in 2026, with predictions ranging from a decline to $300 to a rise to $600, amid slowing EV sales and hopes for breakthroughs in autonomous driving and robotics. While revenue growth is expected to rebound modestly, challenges like expiring tax credits and competition persist. Bulls emphasize future technologies, but bears highlight current business struggles.
Baird analyst Ben Kallo has maintained an Outperform rating on Tesla with a $548 price target, highlighting the company as a core holding ahead of key developments in 2026. Shares have risen 21% year-to-date in 2025 and 7% in the last month, outperforming the S&P 500. The firm anticipates announcements on robotaxi services, Optimus robotics, and expansions into new markets.
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As 2025 draws to a close, Tesla's stock has risen 25.29% for the year despite recent dips and earnings misses. Analysts offer varied predictions, with bull cases highlighting AI-driven growth in robotaxis and robotics, while bears point to intensifying EV competition and eroding market share. The company's future hinges on executing ambitious plans in autonomy and beyond traditional vehicles.