US Market

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Tesla's Model Y and Model 3 led the US electric vehicle market in 2025 as part of a year that saw total sales of about 1.28 million units. The Model Y sold 357,528 units for 39.5% share, while the Model 3 delivered 192,440 units for 15.9% share—together over 55% of the market and underscoring Tesla's hold amid challenges. (See our series overview for full market breakdown.)

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Cox Automotive predicts an 8.9% drop in Tesla's US vehicle sales for 2025 to 577,097 units, down from 633,762 in 2024, amid growing competition from Toyota and GM that could erode Tesla's market share from 4.0% to 3.5%. This follows a challenging year capped by November's slump after federal EV tax credits ended.

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