Chicago Fed index shows modest economic growth in June

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index rose to -0.02 in June from -0.19 in May. The three-month moving average also improved to -0.05 from -0.10.

The Chicago Fed National Activity Index, a composite of 85 monthly indicators, increased in June. One of the four broad categories of indicators decreased from May while two categories made negative contributions.

The index's three-month moving average, known as CFNAI-MA3, rose to -0.05 in June from -0.10 in May. The measure is designed to gauge overall economic activity and related inflationary pressure.

The data covers the period ending in June and was compiled by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.

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Illustration of job seekers facing declining employment opportunities with a graph showing falling job offers.
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Job offers fall 6.1% in June marking eight straight months of declines

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The Central Bank's Labor Ads Index reached 70.7 points in June, down 6.1% year over year. The unemployment rate hit 9.4% in the March-May quarter, the highest since 2021.

U.S. manufacturing activity expanded for an eleventh consecutive month in June but at a slower pace than expected. The S&P Global PMI fell to 53.9, down 1.2 points from the prior month and below forecasts.

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The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index increased to 54.4 in July. The gain reflects easing gas prices and lower inflation expectations.

Chile’s main stock index closed lower on July 1 as the dollar resumed its rise, after the IMACEC for May fell 0.9%.

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China's official manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) fell slightly to 50.3 in April from 50.4 the previous month, though it exceeded expectations. New export orders and imports expanded for the first time since early 2024, but softer domestic activity pushed the non-manufacturing PMI into contraction. Price pressures remained in expansionary territory, indicating ongoing reflation.

Indian equities rose on the back of positive US inflation figures that reduced expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. The gains came despite ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and oil prices near 85 dollars a barrel.

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US retail sales increased for a fifth consecutive month in June, rising 0.2 percent to 768.6 billion dollars. The modest gain matched expectations but represented a slowdown from the prior month.

 

 

 

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