Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is projected to exceed 31.5 points in Sunday's game against the Portland Trail Blazers. The reigning MVP has been dominant in November, and Portland's depleted backcourt offers a favorable matchup. Both betting sources lean toward the over on his scoring prop.
The NBA slate on Sunday, November 23, 2025, features eight games, with the Portland Trail Blazers facing the Oklahoma City Thunder at 7:00 p.m. ET on BlazerVision and FanDuel Sports Network Oklahoma. A key storyline is Thunder star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's scoring potential against a shorthanded Blazers team.
Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 31.9 points per game this season and has surpassed 31.5 points in six appearances. He scored 35 points in the teams' first matchup this season, a two-point Thunder loss at Moda Center. In November, he has reached 30 or more points in nine of 11 games, clearing 31.5 four times. Coming off a 31-point outing against the Utah Jazz on Friday, SGA has averaged 30.0 points, 7.0 assists, 4.2 rebounds, and 2.0 steals over his last five games.
Portland's defense is weakened by injuries: Jrue Holiday is out with a calf issue, Scoot Henderson with a hamstring strain, and Shaedon Sharpe with a calf injury. This leaves Gilgeous-Alexander likely matched up against Caleb Love, a favorable duel for the scoring champion. The Blazers allow the sixth-most points per game overall at 122.5 and the fourth-most on the road at 125, boosting SGA's chances for another strong performance.
Betting lines list the over at -115 on DraftKings, with analysts expecting the Thunder to capitalize on Portland's vulnerabilities for a win.