South Africa's Government of National Unity, formed in June 2024, has shown signs of stability after overcoming early crises, but the 2026 local elections pose a significant challenge to its cohesion. Coalition partners acknowledge improved negotiations, yet ideological differences and electoral rivalries could strain relations. Preparations for the State of the Nation Address highlight both progress and persistent tensions.
The Government of National Unity (GNU), established on 14 June 2024 as a 10-party coalition including the ANC and DA, has navigated numerous disputes since its formation. Early challenges involved disagreements over the budget, National Health Insurance, affirmative action, education, and foreign policy. A major crisis occurred in February and March 2025 when the coalition failed to pass the national budget twice, primarily due to opposition against a proposed VAT increase from 15% to 17%.
ANC spokesperson Mahlengi Bhengu highlighted the GNU's institutional stability, noting it has maintained policy continuity and fostered a culture of negotiation. DA leader John Steenhuisen described the 2025 budget failure as a turning point that promoted a more consultative decision-making process. UDM leader Bantu Holomisa emphasized the shift toward collective responsibility, stating that the era of individualism has ended.
As preparations advance for President Cyril Ramaphosa's State of the Nation Address on 12 February 2026, Presidential spokesperson Vincent Magwenya reported enhanced collaboration during a recent Cabinet lekgotla in Pretoria. However, Freedom Front Plus leader Dr Corné Mulder criticized the ANC for altering its initial stance, viewing it as a negative development.
The 2026 local government elections represent the coalition's biggest upcoming test. Magwenya asserted that while campaigning may intensify sensitivities, the GNU's commitment remains strong. Yet, parties like the DA and Patriotic Alliance foresee risks from competing for control in key areas, such as Johannesburg—where DA's Helen Zille and PA's Kenny Kunene are mayoral candidates—and the Western Cape's George Municipality.
Ideological variances persist, with PAC secretary-general Apa Pooe arguing the arrangement lacks a unifying vision, potentially leading to policy incoherence. In contrast, IFP chief whip Nhlanhla Hadebe saw potential strength in diverse unity, provided equitable power-sharing is upheld. Recent mechanisms, including a dispute-resolution clearing house adopted in October 2025, have improved coordination.
A late 2025 poll indicated 49% of South Africans view the GNU positively, amid modest economic gains: GDP growth reached 1.1% in 2025, and unemployment dipped to 31.9%. Foreign policy frictions, such as the Iran naval exercise participation, continue to divide members.
