Chelsea's Champions League knockout fate to be decided against Napoli

Chelsea's position in the Champions League will be finalized on Wednesday night during their match against Napoli in Naples. A victory could secure a direct spot in the last-16, while a draw or loss would likely send them to the play-offs. The Blues currently sit eighth after a 1-0 win over Pafos last week.

Chelsea head into their final Champions League league phase match against Napoli with their destiny in their own hands. Under head coach Liam Rosenior, the team aims to qualify directly for the knockout stages' last-16 without entering the play-offs. Currently positioned eighth—the last direct qualification spot—Chelsea hold 13 points, level with Barcelona, Sporting CP, Manchester City, Atletico Madrid, and Atalanta.

A win over Napoli would guarantee a top-eight finish, provided Chelsea match or better the goal differences of their rivals. PSG and Newcastle lead in sixth and seventh on superior goal difference, but their matchup against each other on the final day offers Chelsea an opportunity. As noted in UEFA's rules, the play-off draw pairs seeded teams (9th-16th) against unseeded ones (17th-24th), with seeded clubs hosting the second leg.

Should Chelsea draw, they would reach 14 points and depend on favorable results elsewhere, including the PSG-Newcastle clash and outcomes involving Inter Milan, Borussia Dortmund, and others. A loss keeps them on 13 points, requiring specific results like a draw between Inter and Dortmund, plus losses for Barcelona, Manchester City, and Juventus to avoid dropping into the play-offs on worse goal difference.

Regardless of the result, Chelsea have already secured at least a play-off berth as a seeded team, making it impossible for them to fall into the unseeded bracket due to head-to-head fixtures among rivals. The draw for the play-offs is set for Friday.

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Liverpool's potential Champions League knockout opponents revealed

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With one match remaining in the Champions League league phase, Liverpool sit fourth and need a victory over Qarabag to secure a direct spot in the round of 16. Their recent 3-0 win over Marseille has strengthened their position among the top eight teams. The new format already outlines possible knockout matchups for the Reds and other English clubs.

Chelsea travel to Naples to face Napoli in Matchday 8 of the 2025/2026 UEFA Champions League league phase on January 28, 2026. The Blues hold the eighth and final automatic qualification spot for the last 16 after a 1-0 win over Pafos, while Napoli sit 25th and must avoid defeat to keep their hopes alive. Goal difference could prove decisive in the tight standings.

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In a high-stakes UEFA Champions League league phase finale, Napoli hosts Chelsea at the Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on January 28, 2026. Both teams desperately need a victory: Chelsea to secure a top-eight finish and direct round-of-16 qualification, while Napoli aims to climb into playoff spots and avoid early elimination. Antonio Conte's Napoli side enters amid a slump, fresh off a 3-0 defeat to Juventus, as Liam Rosenior's Chelsea rides a wave of improved form.

The UEFA Champions League knockout phase play-off draw on January 30, 2026, paired Benfica with Real Madrid in a rematch just weeks after Benfica's dramatic victory. Newcastle United face a long trip to Qarabag, while Paris Saint-Germain meet Monaco in an all-French tie. The draw, held in Nyon, Switzerland, determines the final eight teams to join the top eight in the round of 16.

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Newcastle United stands to gain up to £14 million in prize money by defeating Paris Saint-Germain in their upcoming Champions League match. This financial windfall would come from direct advancement to the last 16, bypassing playoffs. The incentive underscores the high stakes beyond the pitch in Paris.

Mikel Arteta has called Arsenal's EFL Cup semi-final against Chelsea a key 'mission' to secure the club's first major trophy in nearly six years. The Gunners face the Blues at Stamford Bridge on Wednesday, amid injury concerns for both sides. New Chelsea manager Liam Rosenior sees the match as a chance to build momentum in his first home game.

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Chelsea rescued a 2-2 draw against Qarabag in Baku during the Champions League league phase, thanks to a second-half goal from substitute Alejandro Garnacho. The match highlighted Chelsea's squad rotation amid a Club World Cup hangover and an early injury to Romeo Lavia. Qarabag impressed with goals from Leandro Andrade and Marko Jankovic, pushing Chelsea all the way.

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