Hong Kong finance chief confirms early surplus and more elderly support

Hong Kong's finance chief Paul Chan has confirmed an early operating account surplus, driven by strong financial markets, and vowed more support for the elderly. Speaking at a public forum, he addressed welfare demands while noting that social spending was not cut despite last year's deficit.

Hong Kong's Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po confirmed on January 10 that the city is poised to achieve an early operating account surplus, fueled by robust financial market performance and higher revenue from stock trading stamp duty.

Addressing around 100 residents at a public forum ahead of the 2026-27 budget, due in late February, Chan highlighted the economy's resilience. "Despite the trade war and rising geopolitical tensions last year, Hong Kong still recorded 3.2 per cent economic growth, with the economy now showing steady and orderly development," he said.

"Thanks to the financial market performance, we gained more [stock market] stamp duty, which enabled us to achieve [operating account] surplus earlier," he added. Chan stressed that public spending on social welfare was not reduced in the previous financial year, even amid a budget deficit.

The forum allowed residents to voice views on welfare, including calls for greater elderly support, which Chan vowed to address with more assistance. Key themes include trade war impacts, stock exchange activity, budget deficits, economic growth, the Greater Bay Area, stamp duty, public forums, social welfare, the Northern Metropolis, elderly residents, user-pays principles, financial market performance, and geopolitics.

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Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan presents the 2026 budget at the Legislative Council, highlighting AI and infrastructure investments amid fiscal surplus charts and public criticism over no cash handouts.
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Hong Kong budget stresses long-term investments amid public criticism

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Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan unveiled the 2026 budget on Wednesday, emphasizing investments in artificial intelligence and infrastructure while facing criticism for the absence of direct cash handouts to residents. The budget projects a surplus and includes a rare transfer from the Exchange Fund.

Hong Kong's finance chief has expressed optimism about the city's economic outlook for 2026, while forecasting 2025 growth to accelerate to 3.2%, surpassing earlier projections. He attributed this positive outlook mainly to anticipated growth in mainland China and Asia, along with interest rate cuts.

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Hong Kong Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po will deliver the 2026-27 budget on Wednesday, unveiling measures to accelerate economic recovery. The budget features a purple cover symbolizing strengthening economic momentum amid a volatile external environment. It arrives against heightened geopolitical tensions, including a new 15 per cent global tariff announced by US President Donald Trump, with expectations for sweeteners tempered by economists' warnings on public finances.

Hong Kong's government will allocate at least 10 per cent budget increases to innovation and technology, intellectual property, and investment promotion departments in the 2026-27 financial year, despite curbs on recurrent spending. The Environment and Ecology Bureau and public broadcaster face sharp cuts of 70 and 28 per cent, respectively. The Home and Youth Affairs Bureau will expand its civil service workforce by 16 per cent, the largest increase among all departments.

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Fiscal strains from a five-year property market slump are forcing Chinese provinces to cut their 2026 budget-revenue expectations. Analysts cite the shift as a warning sign that intense debt pressures continue to drag down the nation’s economic growth outlook. Local governments are seen curbing infrastructure spending to prioritise debt control over rapid expansion.

An opinion piece in the South China Morning Post states Beijing's plans assure steady, high-quality growth and stable relations, with Hong Kong taking a bigger role in national development. It highlights a shift to a growth target range as reflecting strategic flexibility.

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Following the Cabinet's approval of a record ¥122.3 trillion fiscal 2026 budget, Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi announced a projected primary balance surplus—the first in 28 years—highlighting progress toward long-term fiscal health amid high debt concerns.

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