India's stock market risks sliding from top five as AI reshapes investments

India is facing growing pressure in global markets because it has not benefited from artificial intelligence gains seen elsewhere. The country risks dropping out of the world's top five stock markets.

Unlike Taiwan and South Korea, India has not seen rallies driven by AI. Global investors are shifting focus to chip manufacturing, computing infrastructure and AI models instead.

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Illustration of Middle East tensions causing stock market drops, oil price spikes, and investor flight to US dollar.
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Middle East conflict fuels global market volatility and oil price surge

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Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, involving the US, Israel, and Iran, have triggered a slide in Asian shares and a surge in oil prices. Investors are turning to the US dollar for safety amid fears of prolonged energy cost increases and inflation. While emerging markets face short-term losses, experts see long-term resilience.

Indian equities have posted losses in recent sessions while markets in neighboring countries recorded gains. The divergence stems from a global surge in artificial intelligence spending that has boosted chip manufacturers elsewhere in Asia.

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Asian stocks experienced a slight retreat from their recent peaks following a downturn in Wall Street markets. The decline was influenced by a subdued investor response to Nvidia's latest earnings report. Despite the pullback, Asian equities have outperformed global benchmarks throughout the year.

Japan's Nikkei share average rose 0.76% to 57,256.55 on Tuesday as trading resumed after a holiday, lifted by gains in AI-related stocks on speculation of a Nvidia-OpenAI deal. Bank shares fell amid concerns over a U.S. firm's asset sales. The broader Topix index edged up 0.1%.

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Senior Congress leader P Chidambaram has endorsed the adoption of artificial intelligence in India, highlighting its potential to boost productivity, while expressing concerns over widespread job losses. In his opinion piece, he discusses the differing impacts on developed and developing economies and calls for measures to align technology with employability. He questions what role humans will play if AI handles most work.

Analysts suggest China’s rapid AI adoption may limit the economic fallout from its rapidly ageing population. As fertility rates fall across Asia, sustaining growth with fewer workers poses a daunting challenge. The region’s deep semiconductor, tech hardware, and machinery ecosystems enable faster and cheaper deployment than other regions.

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The S&P 500 and Nasdaq composite indices climbed to new record levels, supported by gains in artificial intelligence stocks and robust corporate results.

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