NFL analyst predicts sparse top-100 quarterback picks in 2026 draft

NFL draft analyst Lance Zierlein forecasted that the 2026 NFL draft could see fewer than four quarterbacks selected in the top 100 picks, echoing the 2013 draft. He shared this view in a tweet on April 4. The prediction comes amid speculation about the Pittsburgh Steelers' quarterback needs.

Lance Zierlein, an analyst for NFL.com, tweeted on Saturday that the 2026 quarterback class might produce historically few early selections. “You have to go back to 2013 to find a draft where fewer than at least four quarterbacks were taken inside the top 100 picks,” he wrote. “I feel like we see that happen again in the 2026 draft.” The Steelers hold five picks in the top 100: 21st, 53rd, 76th, 85th, and 99th overall. They face uncertainty at quarterback amid an ongoing saga involving Aaron Rodgers, with no clear starter on the roster. Indiana's Fernando Mendoza stands as the presumptive top overall pick, while Alabama's Ty Simpson could land in the first two rounds. Other prospects include Miami's Carson Beck, LSU's Garrett Nussmeier, Penn State's Drew Allar, and Arkansas's Taylen Green. Zierlein joins those viewing the class as backup-heavy after earlier hype. The Steelers' past drafts offer context. In 2022, they selected Kenny Pickett 20th overall, the first quarterback taken that year, with three others following in the top 100 but none before the third round. In 2013, Pittsburgh picked Landry Jones at 115th; he became a backup.

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Steelers insiders in draft room debate quarterback picks amid Aaron Rodgers' potential 2026 return uncertainty, with Ben Roethlisberger's warning.
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Steelers insiders debate QB draft amid Rodgers return uncertainty

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As the Pittsburgh Steelers await Aaron Rodgers' decision on a 2026 return—following his 2025 division title win—insiders are divided on using early NFL draft picks on a quarterback. While some eye mid-round prospects like Drew Allar or Carson Beck, Ben Roethlisberger warns against top selections, predicting fan backlash.

With the 2026 NFL Draft two weeks away in Pittsburgh, teams are already turning attention to the 2027 quarterback prospects, according to draft analyst Dane Brugler. Brugler noted frequent discussions about next year's class during conversations with scouts since the Combine. The move highlights disappointment in the current year's quarterbacks.

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Pittsburgh Steelers owner Art Rooney II stated that the team probably will not draft a quarterback with its No. 21 pick in Thursday's first round of the 2026 NFL Draft. In a pre-draft interview with WTAE’s Andrew Stockey, Rooney kept options open for other positions like wide receiver, offensive line or secondary, echoing recent analyst reports ruling out early picks like Alabama's Ty Simpson.

The Pittsburgh Steelers enter the 2026 NFL Draft with 12 picks, including five in the first three rounds, after addressing several needs in free agency. Experts such as Todd McShay and Ross McCorkle emphasize priorities like offensive line, wide receiver, and safety. Recent history suggests value at the No. 21 pick.

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ESPN's Draft Day Predictor gives Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson an 11.5 percent chance of being the Pittsburgh Steelers' first-round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft. The model ranks several prospects as potential selections for the team. Pittsburgh trails other teams slightly for the top candidate.

The NFL's 2026 free agency negotiating window has significantly reshaped projections for the first round of the upcoming draft. Key moves, including a failed trade for edge rusher Maxx Crosby and several high-profile signings, have shifted team needs. Running back Jeremiyah Love now enters the top five in mock drafts.

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A new mock draft for the 2027 NFL Draft places three quarterbacks among the first five selections. Arizona, Miami and New York are projected to select top talent at the position.

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