Poor chances for white Christmas in most of Sweden

The forecast for Christmas Eve points to mild weather without snow in most of Sweden. Meteorologists warn of continued warm and wet December conditions, though the north has seen snowfall. A small chance exists for snow in the south if cold air moves southward.

December has so far been warm, wet, and gray in many parts of Sweden. With just ten days left until Christmas Eve, the chances of snow are small in most of the country. According to SMHI meteorologist Erik Höjgård-Olsen, most signals point to milder weather than normal, and the mild air is expected to persist until December 24.

"Most signals overall indicate milder weather than normal," says Höjgård-Olsen. He assesses the probability of a white Christmas Eve as low, but notes that northern Norrland's inland and mountain areas have recently received significant snowfall with depths between half a meter and one meter. For those seeking a white Christmas, he recommends traveling as far north as possible.

In Dalarna, where several ski resorts have opened for the season, snow is notably absent. The landscape is green and brown during the third Advent. SVT meteorologist Marcus Sjöstedt describes the weather as characterized by mild winds, occasional snow but also rain, with temperatures on the plus side. "It has happened before that winter weather arrives just in time for Christmas," he says, adding that no signs of change are visible right now.

A potential shift could occur if a cold air mass north of Scandinavia moves southward next week. "If we get signals during this period that the cold air seeks southward before Christmas Eve, then we have a completely different air mass," explains Höjgård-Olsen. However, it must bring snowfall to provide a white Christmas even in southern parts.

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Snowy Swedish winter scene with dark clouds parting for emerging winter solstice sunshine over forests and village.
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Sweden's dark December: Sunshine forecast after record-low start

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Following an exceptionally sun-poor start to December 2025—previously reported as less than five hours of sun in many areas up to mid-month—this year ranks among Sweden's darkest in 15 years. Relief is coming: sunny weather is expected across much of the country by the weekend, coinciding with the winter solstice on Sunday when days begin to lengthen.

The forecast for Christmas Eve points to bright sun and crisp minus degrees across almost all of Sweden, but no snow is expected in the southern parts. The snow line runs high up in the country, potentially making it the greenest Christmas since 2020. Meteorologist Lasse Rydkvist predicts frost that could add a white touch to the bare ground.

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Sweden's Christmas weather is turning unusual, with milder temperatures in the north than in the south. Meteorologist Fredrik Cronvall at SMHI predicts it could be warmer in Jokkmokk than in Skåne on Christmas Day. The holiday brings a mix of sun, rain, and snow, with warnings for mountain weather.

After slush and above-freezing temperatures across much of the country, colder weather is approaching. A high-pressure ridge brings mostly dry conditions on Sunday, with sub-zero temperatures north of northern Dalarna and slight positives further south, according to SMHI.

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Large parts of Sweden have seen less than five hours of sunlight so far in December, according to preliminary SMHI figures. Stockholm and several other places have it particularly dark with under one hour of sunshine. Meteorologist Linus Falk describes it as generally low figures due to low pressure and clouds.

As remnants of Storm Anna bring continued snowfall into mid-week, a new low-pressure system threatens heavy snow in western regions, while SMHI forecasts high pressure bringing nationwide cold and a potential ice day over the weekend.

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Storm Anna continues to grip Sweden into the weekend after battering Gävleborg on New Year's Day, prompting orange and yellow warnings from SMHI for heavy snow and drifting. Thousands of households there remain powerless from prior storm damage, with repairs stalled by fresh snowfall; conditions should ease from Monday.

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