Purbaya: strong economic fundamentals should strengthen rupiah

Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa said Indonesia's rupiah should strengthen due to strong national economic fundamentals. However, the rupiah weakened to Rp16,997 per US dollar on March 16, 2026. He remains confident the IHSG will hit 10,000 by end-2026.

Jakarta, March 16, 2026 – Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa stated that Indonesia's rupiah should strengthen given the strong performance of national economic fundamentals. He made the remarks at the Coordinating Ministry for Economic Affairs office in Jakarta on Monday (March 16, 2026). The rupiah instead weakened 39 points or 0.23 percent to Rp16,997 per US dollar at Monday's close, from Rp16,958 previously. He deferred intervention strategies to Bank Indonesia, the authority responsible for exchange rate stability. “If the economy is running fast, getting faster, the fundamentals should be good. Normally, the rupiah should strengthen,” Purbaya said. “I don't know why (the rupiah) is weakening. You should ask the central bank. Because the central bank's sole responsibility is to maintain exchange rate stability,” he added. Purbaya is also confident the Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) will break 10,000 by end-2026. “To the moon, still. 10,000 (end of year) is still possible,” he said. Indonesia's economic foundation is solid, with faster growth than neighbors or G20 countries despite controlled deficits. The IHSG closed down 114.92 points or 1.61 percent at 7,022.29 on March 16, down 19.73 percent year-to-date. Market and rupiah weakness is linked to US-Iran conflict dynamics in the Middle East, according to analyst Ibrahim Assuaibi.

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Illustration of strengthening Rupiah amid tax revenue optimism, featuring Finance Minister and rising currency charts in Jakarta's financial hub.
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Rupiah strengthens on 2026 tax revenue optimism

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar strengthened in Tuesday morning trading, boosted by Finance Minister Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa's optimism about 2026 tax revenue exceeding targets. January tax realizations surged 30.8 percent year-on-year, while the Consumer Confidence Index rose to its highest level in a year. This comes amid fluctuations in the domestic stock market, which opened slightly weaker.

The rupiah exchange rate weakened toward Rp 17,000 per US dollar on January 21, 2026, driven by global and domestic pressures. Economist Josua Pardede stressed the need for fiscal policy certainty to restore market confidence. Meanwhile, the IHSG opened lower amid rising external risks.

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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened at the market open in Jakarta on Thursday (January 29, 2026), reaching around Rp16,752-Rp16,771 per dollar. This decline occurred despite issues of US government intervention in the Federal Reserve and positive market response to continued domestic stimulus programs. Analysts predict limited strengthening potential due to global and domestic factors.

The rupiah rebounded at Thursday's market opening in Jakarta on January 22, 2026, reversing the previous day's weakening toward Rp17,000 per US dollar. The gain was driven by market euphoria over Bank Indonesia's decision to maintain the benchmark interest rate at 4.75 percent, alongside government fiscal measures for economic recovery. Analysts forecast trading in the Rp16,900-Rp16,950 range.

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The rupiah strengthened by 10 points to Rp16.706 per US dollar at the opening of trading on Monday morning in Jakarta. This gain was driven by easing concerns over the AI speculative bubble in the US stock market. Additionally, Bank Indonesia's announcement of a current account surplus supported the positive movement.

The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened stronger by 9.80 points or 0.11 percent to 8,555.66 on Friday (November 28, 2025). Markets await Bank Indonesia's monetary policy direction for 2026 amid optimism for a Federal Reserve rate cut. Positive sentiments are also driven by rupiah strengthening and rebound in Asia-Pacific markets.

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The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) opened up 39.71 points or 0.44 percent to 9,072.29 on Thursday morning, amid market concerns over threats to the independence of the US Federal Reserve due to President Donald Trump's attacks on Chairman Jerome Powell. These worries are reinforced by Producer Price Index (PPI) data showing price pressures, potentially leading the Fed to hold or raise interest rates. However, analysts view this strength as a signal of an investment shift toward a supercycle supporting Indonesia's stock market throughout 2026.

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