South Korea's consumer prices up 2.1% in 2025, lowest in five years

South Korea's inflationary pressure eased to the lowest level in five years in 2025, following the sharpest price growth in decades during the post-pandemic period. Consumer prices, a key gauge of inflation, increased 2.1 percent on-year, slightly above the Bank of Korea's 2 percent target. The figure marks the lowest annual level since 0.5 percent in 2020.

Government data showed that South Korea's consumer prices rose 2.1 percent on-year in 2025, marking the lowest annual level in five years. This follows a surge from 2.5 percent in 2021 to 5.1 percent in 2022, before moderating to 3.6 percent in 2023 and 2.3 percent in 2024. Petroleum product prices increased 2.4 percent, returning to an upward trend for the first time in three years since a 22.2 percent jump in 2022.

"Overall, international oil prices have fallen compared with a year ago, but rising exchange rates and a reduction in fuel tax cuts appear to have pushed up gasoline and diesel prices," said Lee Doo-won, a ministry official. The Korean won has been among the world's weakest-performing currencies over the past year. Prices of livestock products rose 4.8 percent, while seafood prices increased 5.9 percent.

In December, consumer prices rose 2.3 percent from a year earlier, exceeding the central bank's target for the fourth consecutive month, largely due to rising import prices amid the weak won. Inflation stayed in the 2 percent range in June and July, eased to 1.7 percent in August, rebounded to 2.1 percent in September, and remained in the 2 percent range thereafter.

The ministry attributed December's inflation to a sharp 6.1 percent rise in petroleum products, the largest since February's 6.3 percent gain. Diesel prices surged 10.8 percent, the biggest increase since January 2023, while gasoline climbed 5.7 percent, the largest since February, reflecting the weak currency's impact. Agricultural, livestock, and fishery products rose 4.1 percent, contributing 0.32 percentage points to overall inflation. Imported beef prices increased 8 percent, the sharpest since last August, with mackerel, bananas, and kiwis also seeing significant gains.

"While exchange rates played a role, overseas supply and demand conditions also contributed," Lee said. Core inflation, excluding volatile food and energy, rose 2.3 percent in December.

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South Korean market scene contrasting high food prices with stable fuel costs amid 2% inflation slowdown.
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South Korea's consumer prices rise 2% in January, slowest pace in five months

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South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

Major financial institutions have raised their 2026 inflation forecasts for South Korea, citing the continued weakness of the Korean won against the U.S. dollar. According to Bloomberg's compilation from 37 institutions, the median projection stands at 2 percent, up 0.1 percentage point from 1.9 percent at the end of last month. The Bank of Korea has also warned that consumer inflation could reach the mid-2 percent range if the domestic currency remains weak.

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Import prices rose at the fastest pace in 19 months in November due to a weaker Korean won, despite falling global oil prices, according to Bank of Korea data. The index increased 2.6 percent from the previous month. This development could influence production costs and consumer prices.

South Korea's industrial output grew 0.9 percent in November, driven by strong semiconductor production, while retail sales fell 3.3 percent, the sharpest drop in 21 months. Data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics attributes the retail decline to the fading effects of the Chuseok holiday and base effects. Cumulative retail sales for January to November rose 0.4 percent, suggesting a possible positive annual figure.

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South Korea's industrial output grew at the slowest pace in five years in 2025, despite robust performance in the semiconductor sector. Retail sales and facility investment showed signs of improvement, according to government data.

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An Asia-based economic surveillance organization has projected that South Korea's economy will expand by 1.9 percent next year, supported by growth momentum that began earlier this year. The assessment came in a report following its annual consultation with the South Korean government this month. Growth is expected to accelerate from 1 percent in 2025.

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