ZDNET's top six Linux distros predicted for 2026

Continuing coverage of promising Linux distributions for 2026, ZDNET forecasts six distros poised to lead, driven by Windows 10's end-of-support and demand for reliable, user-friendly alternatives. This follows ItsFoss's earlier analysis of nine contenders, with shared emphasis on stability, familiarity, and niche appeals like atomic updates and lightweight designs.

Linux's desktop rise accelerates amid Windows 10's end-of-life, prompting reliable alternatives. ZDNET's January 2026 predictions highlight six distributions likely to gain traction, complementing ItsFoss's December 2025 selection of nine promising projects.

AerynOS excels with atomic design and KDE Plasma, auto-managing boot entries and rollbacks for failure-proof upgrades without full immutability hassles.

AnduinOS (also noted by ItsFoss), Ubuntu-based, emulates Windows 10 via GNOME extensions like ArcMenu, prioritizing privacy and smooth transitions for ex-Microsoft users.

Besgnulinux, from Debian stable, uses lightweight JWM for older hardware, including custom tools to revive aging PCs efficiently.

BigLinux, on Manjaro with KDE Plasma, beginner-friendly with pre-bundled web apps (e.g., Netflix, Discord), browser choices, and easy driver management.

System76's Pop!_OS features the fast, configurable COSMIC desktop—predicted to become Linux's most popular DE by 2026 end—echoing COSMIC options in other forecasts like ObsidianOS.

Zorin OS, Ubuntu-based, offers Windows/macOS-like layouts, surging with over a million downloads (78% from Windows users) post-Windows 10 support end.

Together, these reflect Linux's push toward intuitive, stable options, broadening adoption trends seen across recent analyses.

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A realistic photo depicting a user migrating from Windows 10 to Zorin OS, highlighting the boost in Linux adoption following Microsoft's support termination.
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Windows 10 end of support boosts Linux adoption

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Microsoft's termination of Windows 10 support on October 14 has prompted many users to migrate to Linux distributions. Zorin OS, a user-friendly Linux variant, reports a surge in downloads from former Windows users frustrated by Windows 11's hardware requirements. This shift highlights growing interest in open-source alternatives amid privacy and compatibility concerns.

In the latest analysis continuing our coverage of Linux's desktop rise, ItsFoss on January 25 identifies six distributions poised to dominate in 2026. Building on ZDNET's earlier picks like AerynOS and BigLinux—while overlapping on Pop!_OS and Zorin OS—this selection emphasizes atomic updates, developer tools, and mainstream appeal amid Windows 10's retirement.

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A recent analysis highlights nine emerging or revamped Linux distributions that could gain significant traction in 2026, driven by innovative features and targeted user needs. These projects emphasize privacy, immutability, and niche appeals, potentially expanding Linux's desktop presence without relying on a singular breakthrough year. The selection includes options for Windows switchers, gamers, and homelab enthusiasts alike.

A tech enthusiast shares experiences of dual-booting Windows 11 and Linux distributions throughout 2025, questioning whether Microsoft risks losing users to open-source alternatives. The author's commitment to sticking with one Linux distro marks a shift from past frustrations with the system. Social media discussions around Windows 11 highlight ongoing user sentiments.

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The 9to5Linux weekly roundup for the week ending January 18, 2026, highlights several key developments in the open-source world, including new versions of Firefox, Wine, and KDE Plasma. These releases bring enhancements like improved compatibility and bug fixes to Linux users. The roundup also notes the end of life for Ubuntu 25.04 and new distribution editions.

Many Linux enthusiasts frequently switch between distributions in search of the ideal setup, but this practice often leads to lost productivity and frustration. Experts and users advocate embracing a single reliable distro and using tools like Distrobox for safe experimentation. This approach promises greater efficiency without sacrificing the benefits of variety.

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Fedora Linux marked 2025 with the release of versions 42 and 43, introducing advancements in performance, desktop environments, and hardware support. These updates highlight the project's role in driving open-source innovations that influence broader ecosystems like Red Hat Enterprise Linux. Developers and users benefit from enhanced stability and cutting-edge tools tailored for modern computing needs.

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