The US Consumer Price Index for August 2025 increased by 2.9% year-over-year, as reported on September 11, exceeding forecasts of 2.7% and indicating persistent inflation. This data bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate adjustments while easing some economic concerns.

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics released the August 2025 jobs report on September 5, revealing that employers added only 22,000 jobs, below expectations, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.3%. This data signaled a stalling labor market, boosting expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts. Markets reacted with stocks slipping after initial highs and Treasury yields hitting five-month lows.

Weak U.S. jobs data has increased expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, lifting stock markets. Treasury yields fell to five-month lows, and gold prices neared records.