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Dramatic illustration of Bitcoin's retreat to $70,000 amid Iran war escalation, oil price surge, strong USD, and looming options expiry.
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Bitcoin retreats toward $70,000 as Iran war intensifies, ahead of options expiry

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Following a mid-week rally above $68,000, Bitcoin retreated toward $70,000 by early March 6, 2026, erasing $110 billion in market capitalization amid worsening Iran conflict, rising oil prices, and a strengthening U.S. dollar. The pullback occurs despite ongoing institutional adoption, with $2.6 billion in Bitcoin options set to expire, heightening volatility risks.

Bitcoin traded near $69,500 on Wednesday after failing to hold above $71,000, influenced by ongoing U.S.-Israel tensions with Iran. While most altcoins declined, AI-related tokens like ICP and FET saw gains driven by exchange listings and positive industry commentary. Geopolitical volatility continued to affect markets, with oil prices fluctuating sharply.

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Bitcoin held around $68,000 on Tuesday, March 3, showing resilience after Monday's rally, as global stocks tumbled on renewed Middle East tensions. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 fell over 2%, gold dropped sharply, and the U.S. dollar strengthened amid risk-off moves.

Precious metals experienced a dramatic plunge on Friday, with silver dropping 35% and gold falling 12% from recent highs. Bitcoin remained relatively stable around $83,000 amid the volatility. The sell-off appears linked to President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair.

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Compass Point analyst Ed Engel has upgraded his rating on Circle (CRCL) to Neutral from Sell, acknowledging its shift toward behaving like a crypto market proxy. Despite the upgrade, Engel maintains a low price target of $60, citing ongoing valuation concerns and competition. The move follows a similar revision by Mizuho's Dan Dolev and comes as USDC's supply has declined.

Two days after U.S. special forces captured Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026—as detailed in prior coverage—Bitcoin prices have remained resilient above $90,000, showing little reaction to the geopolitical shock. Analysts suggest crypto has moved past the event, though broader markets like oil and equities may see volatility when trading resumes Monday.

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Following U.S. military strikes in Caracas on January 3, 2026, that resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro and his wife—detailed in prior coverage—Venezuela's government condemned the action as an assault on civilians and oil resources. Regional leaders called for restraint, while cryptocurrency markets remained largely unaffected.

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