Geopolitics
Bitcoin drops below $80,000 in crypto market sell-off
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Bitcoin plunged below $80,000 on January 31, 2026, as a weekend crypto market crash erased over $220 billion in value, driven by geopolitical tensions and massive liquidations. Ethereum and XRP led losses, with prices falling sharply amid thin liquidity and reports of Israeli strikes in Gaza and an explosion at Iran's Bandar Abbas port. Traders attribute the downturn to a combination of global risks, U.S. political uncertainty, and forced selling in derivatives markets.
Deputy Chair of the National Economic Council Mari Elka Pangestu is pushing for further implementation of President Prabowo Subianto's Prabowonomics idea amid global economic and geopolitical uncertainties. She emphasized an Indonesia-first approach based on Prabowo's Davos speech. The discussion took place in Jakarta on January 31, 2026.
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The rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar weakened 0.05 percent to Rp16,790 per dollar at the opening of trading on Tuesday, January 27, 2026. The Composite Stock Price Index (IHSG) also opened down 0.31 percent at 8,947, though it is predicted to potentially strengthen if it holds the support level. This movement is influenced by geopolitical tensions between the US and Canada regarding trade with China.
The recent US intervention in Venezuela, culminating in Nicolás Maduro's capture, has altered the regional oil landscape. President Donald Trump pledged to attract US investments to revitalize Venezuela's industry, while Colombia faces challenges in its crude production and exports. This dynamic could intensify competition in the heavy crude market.
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President Emmanuel Macron delivered his New Year's vows to the armed forces on January 15 at the Istres airbase, appearing with a red right eye he described as 'totally benign.' He joked about the incident by linking it to the 'eye of the tiger,' a symbol of determination. Amid geopolitical tensions, he announced a military reinforcement in Greenland.
Iran shut its airspace early Thursday amid unrest, halting most flights except limited approved international ones. An IndiGo flight from Georgia to Delhi became the last non-Iranian jet in the air over Tehran as skies emptied rapidly. Flight-tracking data confirmed the swift clearance of airspace over Iran and Iraq.
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Bank Indonesia (BI) reveals that the rupiah's weakening against the US dollar stems from global pressures, including geopolitical escalation and US President Donald Trump's tariff threats related to Iran. The rupiah closed at 16,860 per US dollar on January 13, 2026, depreciating 1.04 percent year-to-date. BI reaffirms its commitment to maintaining stability through market interventions.
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