TSLA
Tesla Stock Stabilizes Post-FSD NHTSA Filing Amid Divergent Analyst Views
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Tesla shares closed at $402.99 on March 10, 2026, stabilizing after submitting Full Self-Driving data to the NHTSA on March 9, meeting a key regulatory deadline highlighted in prior analyst notes like Bank of America's robotaxi optimism. Despite year-to-date declines, the stock held above $390 support amid varying price targets from $25 to $600.
Tesla's stock closed at $396.73, marking declines of 1.4% over the past week and 3.5% over the past month, amid questions about whether the price embeds too much future growth. A discounted cash flow analysis suggests the shares are trading 160.8% above an estimated intrinsic value of $152.12. Alternative narratives highlight varying views on the company's potential in AI, robotics, and energy.
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Tesla's shares fell about 2% on Friday, with options traders paying up to protect against further declines. Wall Street analysts remain cautious on the electric vehicle maker's pivot toward artificial intelligence and robotics, citing recent revenue drops and production changes. Despite the concerns, some see potential in Tesla's energy business, particularly Megapack batteries for AI data centers.
Tesla delivered 418,227 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025, marking a 16% year-over-year decline and missing Wall Street estimates. The results highlight ongoing demand challenges and setbacks in the Optimus robot program, though energy storage deployments provided a bright spot. Shares rose 3% following President Trump's endorsement of Elon Musk.
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Following recent warnings from figures like ex-board member Steve Westly, a December 30 analysis highlights further concerns for Tesla's stock performance into 2026, urging investors to reassess TSLA positions amid intensifying challenges.