Inflation cools to 2.4% and wages rise in January

New data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows consumer prices increased by 2.4% in January, below expectations, while average hourly earnings grew 3.7% over the past year. The Trump administration highlighted these trends as evidence of improving affordability under its policies. Private-sector job growth exceeded 170,000 in the month.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released figures on Friday indicating that consumer prices rose 2.4% in January, falling short of the forecasted 2.5%. This slowdown in inflation came alongside a 3.7% rise in average hourly earnings over the previous year, which outpaced the inflation rate and pointed to real wage growth. Private-sector employers added more than 170,000 jobs during the month, contributing to positive market reactions.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent commented on the developments, stating, “We saw real wage growth in 2025. It could be very strong in 2026, and I think the American people are going to start feeling it.” The White House attributed the data to the success of President Donald Trump’s economic agenda. Spokesperson Taylor Rogers said, “President Trump has defeated Joe Biden’s inflation crisis in record time. Inflation is low, wages are up, and the American economy is booming — all thanks to President Trump’s pro-growth agenda. President Trump is working hard to Make America Affordable Again — just like he promised.”

Deputy Press Secretary Kush Desai added, “Real wages are up $1,400 in 2025 — nearly half of Biden era real wage decline made up for in just one year thanks to President Trump. This is just the beginning: President Trump’s MFN drug pricing deals, tax cuts, trade deals, and deregulation are just starting to take effect.”

For context, inflation stood at 1.9% annually when President Joe Biden assumed office in 2021. It averaged 4.9% during his term and reached a peak of 9.1% in 2022. Biden had enacted the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan that year, featuring $1,400 direct payments to Americans. Bessent criticized those policies, saying, “Joe Biden crashed the economy. The policies were a disaster for the American people.” He contended that the prior administration increased demand through spending while limiting supply via regulations, which fueled inflation.

These January figures represent continued easing of inflationary pressures amid the current administration’s focus on affordability.

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News illustration of steady U.S. February CPI data at 2.4% amid expected oil price surges from geopolitical tensions.
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February CPI holds steady above Fed's target

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

The Producer Price Index report indicates that wholesale inflation for final demand rose by 0.5% in January. This figure exceeded economists' expectations of 0.3% growth and followed a 0.4% increase in December. Core PPI, excluding food and energy, climbed 0.8% during the month.

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Employers in the United States added 178,000 jobs in March, far exceeding economist expectations of 59,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 4.3 percent. This rebound followed a weak February, when payrolls dropped by 133,000. The White House highlighted the strong figures on social media.

Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (Dane) reported that annual inflation for January 2026 stood at 5.35%, up 13 basis points from January 2025. Driven by lodging services, restaurants, and food, the figure slightly exceeded market expectations. This data will guide the Central Bank's monetary policy decisions.

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Core inflation in Tokyo slowed to a 15-month low in January due to gasoline subsidies and easing food price pressures, offering some relief to consumers. Yet an underlying gauge excluding fresh food and fuel remained above the Bank of Japan's 2% target, indicating continued progress toward sustainable price growth.

South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

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Economy Minister Luis Caputo projected that March inflation will exceed 3%, driven by oil impacts and educational seasonality. The official INDEC data will be released on Tuesday, April 14, at 4 p.m. Caputo assured that disinflation and economic growth will begin from April.

 

 

 

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