Japan's Nikkei average falls as US-Israel-Iran war escalates

Investors in Tokyo remained on edge for a second straight day amid ongoing US-Israeli strikes on Iran, causing Japan's Nikkei share average to fall. Rising crude oil futures and a weaker yen fueled concerns over accelerating inflation. This uncertainty weighed on the equity market overall.

On March 3, 2026, in Tokyo, Japan's Nikkei share average (.N225) fell 1.2% to 57,384.38 as of 0135 GMT. The broader Topix index (.TOPX) also declined 1.2% to 3,850.48.

Maki Sawada, a strategist at Nomura Securities, said, “Ongoing gains in crude oil futures on worsening Middle East tensions, together with a stronger U.S. dollar and weaker yen, are fueling views that inflation could accelerate. This uncertainty, seen as potentially impacting future monetary policy, is weighing on the equity market overall.”

The U.S.-Israeli air war against Iran showed no end in sight, with Israel striking Lebanon in response to Hezbollah attacks. Tehran continued launching missiles and drones at Gulf states hosting U.S. military bases.

The transport equipment sector (.ITEQP.T) and the oil and coal sector (.IPETE.T) each slipped 3.9%. Toyota Motor (7203.T), the world’s largest automaker by sales, fell 5.5%, while Japan’s largest airline, ANA Holdings (9202.T), lost 2.2%. ENEOS Holdings (5020.T), Japan’s biggest refiner, dropped 4.3%, its sharpest decline since November last year.

Unrelated to Middle East tensions, Sumitomo Pharma (4506.T) tanked 15% as investor concerns over a new share issuance outweighed an upward revision to its full-year net profit forecast. On the Nikkei index, there were 194 decliners against 30 advancers.

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Illustration of Asian stock traders reacting to falling markets amid US-Iran tensions and rising oil prices.
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Asia shares slip amid escalating US-Iran tensions

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Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

Japan's Nikkei share average briefly topped 60,000 on Thursday before profit-taking reversed the gains, closing 0.75% lower at 59,140.23 after hitting a record high of 60,013.98. Geopolitical uncertainties in the Middle East weighed on sentiment amid rising oil prices. U.S. President Donald Trump's announcement extending the ceasefire with Iran supported early rises, though Iranian officials rejected any agreement.

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Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index rose above 65,000 for the first time on May 25 as expectations grew that a deal might be reached to end the military conflict between the United States and Iran.

Indian equities rose more than 1 percent on Monday amid optimism over a potential peace deal between the United States and Iran. Broader Asian stocks also posted modest gains following the news. Traders reduced bearish positions as crude oil prices eased.

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Asian equities pulled back from record highs amid mixed signals on US-Iran talks. Crude oil prices climbed with ongoing disruption in the Strait of Hormuz. The dollar rose while Treasuries fell as market sentiment weakened.

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