Copper to gold ratio signals potential bitcoin breakout

The copper-to-gold ratio has climbed above its 200-day moving average for the first time since September 2020. This development has historically coincided with the early stages of bitcoin bull markets.

The ratio now stands at 0.00142, with copper trading at $6.65 per pound and gold near $4,700 per ounce. It has risen 25 percent from recent lows and is viewed as a gauge of economic momentum and investor risk appetite. Copper tends to outperform during expansion periods while gold serves as a defensive asset.

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Trading floor erupts in celebration as Bitcoin surpasses $68,000 amid muted Middle East tensions and strong U.S. manufacturing data.
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Bitcoin rallies above $68,000 despite Iran conflict escalation

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Bitcoin surged above $68,000 on March 2, 2026, as cryptocurrency markets rebounded amid a muted global reaction to escalating tensions in the Middle East. The rally followed strong U.S. manufacturing data, with the ISM PMI rising to 52.4 in February, signaling economic expansion. Ether and other major coins also gained, adding over $100 billion to the total market capitalization in under an hour.

Analysts indicate that bitcoin's market bottom could be approaching when valued against gold, potentially as soon as next month. This view contrasts with longer-term dollar-based forecasts extending into late 2026. Factors like global uncertainty and ETF outflows have pressured bitcoin relative to gold's recent gains.

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The copper price reached US$6.20 per pound on Monday at the London Metal Exchange, driven by supply restrictions stemming from the conflict in Iran. The figure approaches the record of US$6.28 set in January 2026 and marks a 9.34% rise so far this year.

Bitcoin has maintained its position around $70,000 despite a sharp rise in oil prices driven by escalating tensions with Iran. U.S. stocks tumbled on concerns over energy costs and private credit issues, while President Trump prioritized stopping Iran over price worries. Later, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's announcement on Russian oil eased some pressures, pushing Bitcoin toward $72,000.

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Bitcoin's price has rebounded to around $67,000-$70,000 after hitting $60,000 in early February 2026, but analysts warn of a potential bull trap and ongoing bear market. On-chain data shows whales selling into retail demand, while 77% of corporate Bitcoin holdings are underwater. AI models suggest the bottom may be in, though further declines remain possible.

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