预测模型为周四比赛挑选顶级NBA球员道具

随着NBA全明星周末临近,周四仅有三场比赛的赛程中,预测模型提供了值得注意的球员道具推荐。SportsLine的模型看好勒布朗·詹姆斯对阵达拉斯独行侠队超过22.5分,而FanDuel Research则针对卢根茨·多特的投三分和德尼·阿夫迪亚的总得分。这些推荐考虑了伤病和赛前休息期的近期表现。

周四的NBA比赛包括洛杉矶湖人对阵达拉斯独行侠、波特兰开拓者对犹他爵士以及俄克拉荷马城雷霆对密尔沃基雄鹿,所有这些比赛都在全明星赛暂停之前进行。nnSportsLine的预测模型模拟比赛10,000次,在NBA推荐方面有强劲记录,建议投注勒布朗·詹姆斯22.5分以上(赔率-125)。这位41岁的詹姆斯缺席了赛季首月,预计得分25.8分。独行侠场均失分117.3排名第21,将缺席库珀·弗拉格(足部)和卢卡·东契奇(腿筋),使詹姆斯成为焦点。nn在开拓者对爵士的比赛中,该模型建议投注多诺万·克林根12.5个篮板以下(-115)。这位前康涅狄格大学球员场均11.4个篮板,以4.7个进攻篮板领跑联盟,但最近两场比赛仅抢下16个篮板。对阵篮板中等的爵士队,预计他为10.4个篮板。nn同样针对波特兰,建议投注朱鲁·霍勒迪6.5次助攻以下(-125)。霍勒迪场均6.5次助攻,为三年新高,但最近八场比赛中有六场助攻五次或更少,对犹他生涯4.8次。预计助攻4.9次。nnFanDuel Research使用其预测,选择雷霆队的卢根茨·多特命中2+记三分(-162)。杰伦·威廉姆斯和谢伊·吉尔杰斯-亚历山大很可能缺阵,多特面对雄鹿队防守,后者允许得分后卫场均3.7记三分(联盟第二多)。他本赛季场均1.9记三分,但主场投射历史出色。nn对于开拓者的德尼·阿夫迪亚,建议投注23.5分以下(-132)。作为最进步球员领先者,阿夫迪亚场均34.2分钟,但四场伤停后两场比赛仅上场26分钟,得分11分和26分。背靠背赛程和赛前休息期可能进一步限制他的上场时间,客场场均23.4分。

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