Simon Persico: ecology more divisive than in 2020

Political scientist Simon Persico believes ecologists have little to gain in the March 15 and 22 municipal elections. The 2020 local polls saw an exceptional green breakthrough. Six years on, the political landscape has shifted.

Simon Persico, a political scientist and director of Sciences Po Grenoble, discusses ecologists' prospects for the 2026 municipal elections in an interview with Le Monde. A member of the supervisory board of the Fondation de l’écologie politique, he co-authored a note with Florent Gougou titled 'Vers un écologisme municipal ? Promesses de campagne et action politique des mairies vertes en France' (Fondation de l’écologie politique, 2023).

In 2020, Europe Écologie-Les Verts (EELV), renamed Les Écologistes in 2023, achieved a spectacular breakthrough dubbed the 'vague verte'. The party captured six cities with over 100,000 inhabitants: Lyon, Bordeaux, Strasbourg, Tours, Besançon, and Annecy. It was re-elected in Grenoble, previously won in 2014 by Éric Piolle. This progress, exceptional at the European level for a green party, stemmed largely from defeats of right-wing incumbents within varied left-wing alliances.

Additionally, ecologists joined or rejoined municipal majorities in about ten cities over 100,000 residents, including Paris, Marseille, Montpellier, Rouen, Rennes, Brest (Finistère), Nancy, and Nantes. Persico notes that ecology has become 'much more divisive' than in 2020, curbing potential gains in the March 15 and 22 polls.

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Illustration of a lively French town square gearing up for the 2026 municipal elections, with politicians campaigning before a historic town hall, highlighting high stakes for the Senate.
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The stakes of France's 2026 municipal elections

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As the March 2026 municipal elections approach, French political parties are gearing up, with repercussions for the September senatorial vote. A collective launches tools to promote social parity, while the National Rally adopts a cautious strategy. These elections will shape the Senate's makeup.

Jeanne Barseghian, Strasbourg's ecologist mayor, launches her 2026 municipal campaign on December 17 amid strong opposition. Elected in a 2020 surprise, her list secured 47 out of 65 seats, but criticisms of the record and urban works are intensifying. The election promises to be open and contested.

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The national statutory council of the Ecologists party has annulled the results of the Marseille adherents' general assembly held in October 2025. This decision follows irregularities and the conviction of Hassen Hammou, designated as lead figure, for corruption of a minor. The event aimed to validate a union strategy for the 2026 municipal elections.

One month before the Paris municipal elections on March 15 and 22, 2026, the six main candidates struggle to focus on local issues, overshadowed by national debates and controversies. Budget disputes, school scandals, and judicial affairs dominate the campaign, hindering constructive dynamics.

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Economist Youssef Souidi and editor Thomas Vonderscher release «Nouvelle cartographie électorale de la France», a detailed analysis of votes per polling station crossed with INSEE social data. Ahead of the 2027 presidential election, the book nuances geographical divides and depicts an evolving electorate. It highlights the end of the majority pattern and an established tripartition, with a fragile Macronist base.

The European Union faces growing unpopularity in France, potentially turning the 2027 presidential election into a vote for or against Europe, as outlined in a Le Monde column by Françoise Fressoz. Pro-European parties struggle to reach voters amid voices like Marine Le Pen and Jean-Luc Mélenchon. Only 38 percent of French people hold a positive view of the EU, according to a recent survey.

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The French Socialist Party (PS) remains deeply divided over organizing a primary to select a common left-wing candidate for the 2027 presidential election. Olivier Faure, the party's first secretary, will announce the details of this vote on January 24 in Tours, despite internal criticisms. This initiative, launched in July 2025, faces resistance from within the PS and its allies.

 

 

 

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