Fertilizer prices rise nearly 10% due to US-Iran conflict

The closure of the Strait of Ormuz amid the US-Iran conflict has driven a 7.5% rise in global fertilizer prices over the past week, with urea surging 24%. Colombia, reliant on imports for most of these inputs, faces potential effects on its agricultural sector. Experts warn this could increase production costs for crops.

The conflict in the Middle East, worsened by the closure of the Strait of Ormuz, has created volatility in global markets. According to Bloomberg's Green Markets Fertilizer Price Index, fertilizer prices rose 7.5% between February 27 and March 6, 2026. Specifically, urea's price climbed from US$460 to US$570 per ton, a roughly 24% increase, per the US Gulf Nola Urea Granular Spot indicator.

Latin America relies on imports for up to 90% of its agricultural fertilizers. In Colombia, urea accounted for 27.8% of fertilizer imports in 2025, per Dane data. The country imports about 2 million tons annually, representing 12% to 30% of total crop production costs, said Jorge Bedoya, president of the Colombian Farmers' Society (SAC).

The Persian Gulf produces 30% of the world's urea, and 45% of global fertilizer trade passes through Ormuz. César Palacio, manager of Forteagro, noted that conflicts in these areas reduce supply and drive prices up, with estimated urea increases of US$80 to US$120. This could ripple into food prices, animal feed, and other goods.

While Colombia sources urea mainly from Trinidad and Tobago and the United States, the closure impacts the broader economy. Inventories cover 2-3 months, but crops like rice, coffee, corn, and potatoes may suffer if the situation continues. Urea has also risen 62% since December 2025, affected by the Russia-Ukraine conflict as well.

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Dramatic illustration of fiery oil tanker attack in Strait of Hormuz driving Brent crude prices over $100, with naval response, reserve releases, and India inflation impacts.
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West Asia conflict surges oil prices past $100 per barrel

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Brent crude oil prices have exceeded $100 a barrel amid Iranian attacks on commercial shipping and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The International Energy Agency and the United States are releasing oil reserves to counter supply concerns. In India, the crisis is fueling inflation risks, higher agricultural input costs, and trade disruptions.

Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

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As the US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates following February 28 strikes and weekend retaliation—including the reported death of Ayatollah Khamenei—the Strait of Hormuz has closed, pushing oil prices to new highs and intensifying market volatility. Updated casualties exceed 740, while analysts predict inflation spikes and delayed rate cuts. Mexico sees sharp peso depreciation and stock plunges.

Following US and Israeli attacks on Iran last week, Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz on March 1, 2026, surging global oil prices and threatening fuel costs in Kenya just before the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA) review on March 14.

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Oil prices surged about 20% on Monday as the expanding U.S.-Israeli war with Iran prompted major Middle Eastern producers to cut supplies, reaching highs not seen since July 2022. Iraq and Kuwait have reduced output, amid fears of prolonged disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. The conflict could impose weeks or months of elevated fuel costs worldwide, even if it resolves quickly.

Oil prices peaked above $114 per barrel on March 9 as the Iran war intensified, building on yesterday's surge past $110. Indian markets plunged amid fuel cost fears, while Asian governments rolled out measures to shield consumers from spiking prices.

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The Automatic Fuel Pricing Committee raised prices for all fuel categories by 15 to 22 percent at 3 a.m. on Tuesday. This sudden mid-week decision breaks the normal quarterly review pattern, with increases typically issued at the week's end. It followed a meeting where Prime Minister Mostafa Madbuly discussed options with ministers, including Petroleum Minister Karim Badawy, to address a potential energy crisis if the US-Israeli war on Iran persists.

 

 

 

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