Fertilizer prices rise nearly 10% due to US-Iran conflict

The closure of the Strait of Ormuz amid the US-Iran conflict has driven a 7.5% rise in global fertilizer prices over the past week, with urea surging 24%. Colombia, reliant on imports for most of these inputs, faces potential effects on its agricultural sector. Experts warn this could increase production costs for crops.

The conflict in the Middle East, worsened by the closure of the Strait of Ormuz, has created volatility in global markets. According to Bloomberg's Green Markets Fertilizer Price Index, fertilizer prices rose 7.5% between February 27 and March 6, 2026. Specifically, urea's price climbed from US$460 to US$570 per ton, a roughly 24% increase, per the US Gulf Nola Urea Granular Spot indicator.

Latin America relies on imports for up to 90% of its agricultural fertilizers. In Colombia, urea accounted for 27.8% of fertilizer imports in 2025, per Dane data. The country imports about 2 million tons annually, representing 12% to 30% of total crop production costs, said Jorge Bedoya, president of the Colombian Farmers' Society (SAC).

The Persian Gulf produces 30% of the world's urea, and 45% of global fertilizer trade passes through Ormuz. César Palacio, manager of Forteagro, noted that conflicts in these areas reduce supply and drive prices up, with estimated urea increases of US$80 to US$120. This could ripple into food prices, animal feed, and other goods.

While Colombia sources urea mainly from Trinidad and Tobago and the United States, the closure impacts the broader economy. Inventories cover 2-3 months, but crops like rice, coffee, corn, and potatoes may suffer if the situation continues. Urea has also risen 62% since December 2025, affected by the Russia-Ukraine conflict as well.

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Dramatic illustration of fiery oil tanker attack in Strait of Hormuz driving Brent crude prices over $100, with naval response, reserve releases, and India inflation impacts.
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西アジア紛争が原油価格を1バレル100ドル超へ押し上げる

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イランの商用船舶攻撃とホルムズ海峡の混乱により、ブレント原油価格が1バレル100ドルを超えた。国際エネルギー機関と米国は供給懸念に対処するため石油備蓄を放出している。インドでは、この危機がインフレリスク、農業投入コストの上昇、貿易混乱を招いている。

Escalation of conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel has led Iran to order the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, halting tanker traffic and driving global oil prices above US$80 per barrel. The effects extend to Europe, which is now reconsidering plans to end Russian gas imports, while Indonesia pushes for de-escalation via the D-8 organization and assures stable fuel supplies.

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As the US-Israel-Iran conflict escalates following February 28 strikes and weekend retaliation—including the reported death of Ayatollah Khamenei—the Strait of Hormuz has closed, pushing oil prices to new highs and intensifying market volatility. Updated casualties exceed 740, while analysts predict inflation spikes and delayed rate cuts. Mexico sees sharp peso depreciation and stock plunges.

Following US and Israeli attacks on Iran last week, Iran has closed the Strait of Hormuz on March 1, 2026, surging global oil prices and threatening fuel costs in Kenya just before the Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority (EPRA) review on March 14.

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米国・イスラエルとイランの戦争拡大により、中東の主要産油国が供給を削減した結果、原油価格が月曜日約20%急騰し、2022年7月以来の高値を更新した。イラクとクウェートが生産を減らし、ホルムズ海峡の航路混乱が懸念されている。戦争は数週間から数カ月、高い燃料価格を世界に強い可能性がある。

Oil prices peaked above $114 per barrel on March 9 as the Iran war intensified, building on yesterday's surge past $110. Indian markets plunged amid fuel cost fears, while Asian governments rolled out measures to shield consumers from spiking prices.

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The Automatic Fuel Pricing Committee raised prices for all fuel categories by 15 to 22 percent at 3 a.m. on Tuesday. This sudden mid-week decision breaks the normal quarterly review pattern, with increases typically issued at the week's end. It followed a meeting where Prime Minister Mostafa Madbuly discussed options with ministers, including Petroleum Minister Karim Badawy, to address a potential energy crisis if the US-Israeli war on Iran persists.

 

 

 

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