Genuine opposition needs key choices for 2028 elections

The opposition faces two paths ahead of the 2028 presidential elections: playing the political game or challenging the system itself. Drawing from recent incidents involving Senator Bam Aquino, the piece discusses the tension between pragmatism and radical change. It emphasizes choices that could help overcome dynasties and oligarchs.

In an opinion piece published on February 19, 2024, in Rappler, John Molo, a professor at UP Law and UA&P Law, examines the challenges facing the 'genuine opposition' ahead of the 2028 elections. Drawing from recent events, two Duterte-aligned senators were named as indirect co-perpetrators in extrajudicial killings (EJK) cases against the former president at the International Criminal Court (ICC). Their allies defended them, but Senator Bam Aquino's remark that EJK cases should 'ideally' be tried in the Philippines drew criticism. Supporters described it as nuanced, part of a long game to retain votes from groups including Diehard Duterte Supporters (DDS).

This echoes a similar crisis last year when reports emerged that Aquino and Senator Francis Pangilinan were joining the Senate majority led by then-Senate President Chiz Escudero. While alliances are pragmatic, they complicate matters with the Duterte bloc. For 2028, two paths are proposed: the first involves forging alliances, even unsavory ones, to win and deliver promises. This mirrors conventional politics, yielding incremental changes but potentially perpetuating patronage cycles.

The second path challenges the broken system rather than playing within it. Though dismissed as quixotic by veterans, it aims to end horse trading that has impoverished millions. US examples like Barack Obama and Joe Biden illustrate pragmatism, while a radical approach may be needed to counter figures like Duterte. With consecutive losses in 2016 and 2022, lessons must be drawn: more pragmatism or greater boldness? The opposition's base, especially empowered youth, supports causes over personalities.

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Sara Duterte declares 2028 presidential run at Manila press conference amid scandal.
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Sara Duterte declares 2028 presidential bid

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Vice President Sara Duterte announced on February 18, 2026, that she will run for president in the 2028 elections, amid corruption allegations and new impeachment proceedings against her. She highlighted President Ferdinand Marcos Jr.'s failure to fulfill campaign promises, while the united opposition outlined its own timeline for selecting a candidate.

In 2025, public anger over corruption boiled over into days of protests across various parts of the Philippines. At least one opposition faction called for the resignation of President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. and Vice President Sara Duterte. However, not all administration critics are willing to echo that demand.

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Factions of the Philippine opposition are clashing again, this time over planned protest actions on the People Power anniversary. With no middle ground found, the two groups will hold separate rallies. This raises questions about their ability to unite on larger issues, such as the 2028 elections.

Amid ASEAN challenges, Philippine democracy remains resilient after years of authoritarianism. Despite corruption issues and political tensions, it shows vitality through public protests and independent governance. However, concerns persist about the future with potential return of dictators.

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A poll released early in 2026 shows President Lula leading in electoral scenarios, with Tarcísio de Freitas as the only opponent tying in the second round. The survey highlights the persistence of polarization between Lula and bolsonarismo, with no clear space for a third way. Analysts note that the election will be decided by rejections, amid challenges like incumbent fatigue and effects of judicial convictions.

Mikutano miwili ya viongozi wa upinzani Alhamisi wiki hii imetoa ishara kwamba muungano wao dhidi ya Rais William Ruto mwaka 2027 unaweza kushindwa. Licha ya madai ya umoja, kauli tofauti na uchaguzi ndogo wa Novemba zimezua shaka. Wachambuzi wanasema mvutano huu utawafanya wawe dhaifu.

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Ruling and opposition parties are preparing for the June 3 local elections, viewed as a gauge of public sentiment on political polarization following former President Yoon Suk Yeol's failed martial law bid. The elections include parliamentary by-elections in over 10 constituencies and mark the first major test for President Lee Jae Myung's administration since June last year. The Democratic Party aims to bolster its mandate, while the People Power Party focuses on economic issues to rebound.

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