Ahead of the Baden-Württemberg state election, the Greens have gained ground in a new Insa poll, trailing the CDU by just three points. The CDU leads with 27 percent, the Greens with 24 percent. The vote is set for Sunday.
The representative Insa Institute poll for "Bild" shows the CDU leading with 27 percent, but down one point from the February 23 survey. The Greens gained two points to reach 24 percent. A similar trend appeared in polls by Infratest and the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from the previous week.
The state election outcome on Sunday remains uncertain. Green Minister-President Winfried Kretschmann is not seeking re-election after 15 years in office. Potential successors include Green lead candidate Cem Özdemir and CDU lead candidate Manuel Hagel. Baden-Württemberg has been governed by a green-black coalition since 2016.
The AfD holds steady at 20 percent in the poll and would be the strongest opposition in the Stuttgart state parliament if the Greens and CDU continue governing. No other party wants to form a coalition with the AfD. The SPD drops one point to 9 percent, the FDP stays at 6 percent, and the Left falls to 6 percent—both clearing the five-percent threshold.
The survey polled 1,000 people online from February 24 to March 3, with a margin of error of plus/minus 3.1 percentage points. Polls reflect only the current mood and are not firm predictions, as party loyalties weaken and decisions are made late.
