Kenya seeks new IMF programme after 2025 deal collapse

Kenya's government has announced plans to return to the International Monetary Fund (IMF) for fresh financing to address the budget deficit, while pursuing privatisation of state-owned enterprises. An IMF team arrived in Nairobi to start negotiations on a new three-year arrangement. This follows the collapse of the previous Extended Fund Facility (EFF) and Extended Credit Facility (ECF) programmes in March 2025.

Treasury Principal Secretary Chris Kiptoo revealed the plans during an appearance before the National Assembly’s Departmental Committee on Finance and National Planning to present the 2026 Budget Policy Statement. He clarified that the discussions would focus on an entirely new programme rather than a continuation of the previous one.

“We had a programme with the IMF which ended last year. We agreed with the IMF not to proceed with the ninth and last review,” Kiptoo told lawmakers.

The IMF delegation is in the country for two weeks of consultations. The proposed arrangement is expected to run for about three years and will emphasise medium-term financing and fiscal stability. The previous four-year programme worth Ksh464.47 billion (USD3.6 billion) was set to continue until April 2025 but was terminated after Kenya failed to meet 11 out of 16 performance targets, resulting in the loss of about Ksh110 billion (USD850.9 million) in funding.

Despite seeking IMF support, the government is not pursuing additional costly commercial debt, instead focusing on debt consolidation and adherence to the legal debt ceiling. Last week, it raised Ksh290 billion from international markets via a Eurobond sale to refinance bonds maturing in 2028 and 2032.

Treasury Cabinet Secretary John Mbadi stated that the funds were mobilised through a bond sale in international markets as part of efforts to smooth Kenya’s debt repayment profile.

On the economic outlook, Kiptoo noted that Kenya’s economy grew by an estimated 5.0 per cent in 2025 and is projected to expand by 5.3 per cent in 2026, supported by better agricultural productivity, steady services sector growth, and increased diaspora remittances. Foreign exchange reserves reached Ksh1.561 trillion (USD12.1 billion) by December 2025, covering 5.2 months of imports, up from Ksh1.303 trillion (USD10.1 billion) in 2024. The NSE 20 Share Index rose 52.4 per cent in January 2026 compared to the previous year.

The government will prioritise reforms such as enhanced domestic revenue mobilisation, expenditure rationalisation, digitisation of public finance systems, full implementation of e-procurement, transition to accrual accounting, rollout of the Treasury Single Account, and expanded public-private partnerships.

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South African Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana presents the 2026 budget, highlighting debt stabilisation, social grants, and infrastructure investment.
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South Africa unveils 2026 budget focusing on debt stabilisation

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Finance Minister Enoch Godongwana presented the 2026 National Budget on 25 February 2026, announcing debt stabilisation at 78.9% of GDP and the withdrawal of proposed tax increases. The budget allocates R292.8 billion for social grants with increases for recipients and commits R1.07 trillion to infrastructure over the medium term. Reforms aim to enhance economic growth and public service efficiency amid a projected 1.6% growth for 2026.

The International Monetary Fund has reached a staff-level agreement with Ethiopia on the fourth review of its $3.4 billion Extended Credit Facility arrangement. This agreement paves the way for a $261 million disbursement, bringing total financial assistance to $2.13 billion. The IMF urged continued forex reforms and fiscal discipline to support economic stability.

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The International Monetary Fund announced in a Tuesday statement that Egypt passed the fifth and sixth reviews of its US$8 billion loan program. This comes after the fifth review stalled for months due to slow privatization efforts. The fund praised Egypt's economic performance while calling for accelerated reforms.

Kenya's Cabinet has approved a Ksh5 trillion National Infrastructure Fund to accelerate economic growth. Alongside a new Sovereign Wealth Fund, it will employ creative financing like public asset sales and national savings to support priority projects. The decision follows President Ruto's pledge to realize the fund soon.

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The Egyptian government plans to issue treasury bills, bonds, and sukuk worth a combined EGP 2.703trn during the third quarter of fiscal year 2025/2026, according to data from the Ministry of Finance. The Central Bank of Egypt will execute these issuances on behalf of the government to refinance maturing debt and fund the state's general budget deficit.

Building on the December 22 cabinet meeting at Olivos where these were prioritized, Javier Milei's government secures approval of the 2026 Budget and enacts the Fiscal Innocence Law. These milestones ensure fiscal discipline amid IMF demands but face criticism over impacts on vulnerable groups like the disabled and public workers. Analysts hail macroeconomic gains while cautioning on social costs for 2026.

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Egypt’s Ministry of Finance has announced plans to issue local debt instruments worth EGP 843bn in February 2025, as part of a broader strategy. The plan encompasses tenders totaling EGP 2.703tn in the third quarter of FY 2025/2026 to repay maturing debts and fund the state budget deficit.

 

 

 

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