Argentina's country risk drops below 510 basis points

Argentina's country risk indicator, compiled by JP Morgan, closed at 504 basis points on Monday, February 9, 2026, following a recovery day for sovereign bonds. The drop was driven by gains in dollar-denominated public securities and a stable exchange environment. The Central Bank built reserves exceeding 45 billion dollars.

Argentina's country risk recorded a notable decline on Monday, February 9, 2026, closing at 504 basis points according to JP Morgan and Rava Bursátil data. The indicator started the session at 512 points and hit an intraday low of 501 before stabilizing. This movement marks one of the month's largest drops, driven by gains of up to 1.3% in dollar-denominated sovereign bonds, such as the Globales 2046.

The financial day was marked by a fall in dollar quotations and foreign currency purchases by the Central Bank of the Argentine Republic (BCRA), which raised net reserves above 45 billion dollars. These elements improved the risk perception of local assets in international markets, with Argentine ADRs on Wall Street rising up to 7.1%.

Over the past week, the country risk showed moderate volatility above 500 points. On Wednesday, February 4, it stood at 502 points, while on Friday, February 6, it closed at 512. At the end of January, it had dipped below 500 points near 474, but external factors like nervousness in technology and artificial intelligence companies caused a rebound. Analysts note that fiscal discipline and currency accumulation curbed upward pressure.

The country risk, measured as the interest rate spread between Argentine bonds and U.S. Treasuries, gauges debt default perceptions. Levels above 500 points raise financing costs for public and private sectors. Stable countries like Uruguay keep indicators below 150 points, and a reduction in Argentina would ease credit access and investments.

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Illustration depicting Argentina's country risk dropping below 500 points for the first time in eight years, with rising reserves and investor optimism.
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Argentina's country risk breaks below 500 points after eight years

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Argentina's country risk indicator dropped to 494 basis points on January 27, 2026, its lowest level since May 2018, driven by rising sovereign bonds and the central bank's reserve accumulation. This decline signals growing investor optimism about the country's fiscal solvency. International reserves approach 46 billion dollars after daily net purchases.

Argentina's country risk, as measured by JP Morgan, closed on Monday, January 26, 2026, at 513 basis points, its lowest level since mid-2018. This 2.5% drop from Friday stems from the Central Bank's reserve accumulation exceeding US$1 billion in January. Markets view these developments as signs of improved financial solvency.

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Argentina's country risk index, measured by JP Morgan, closed on Tuesday, April 14, 2026, at 525 basis points, dropping below 530 points for the first time this year. The decline was driven by gains in sovereign bonds and central bank dollar purchases. The index has fallen nearly 90 points over the past week.

Argentina's blue dollar closed on Monday, January 26, 2026, up $5, trading at $1,470 for buying and $1,490 for selling. Other exchange variants also moved, while the official dollar stayed at $1,410-$1,460 per Banco Nación. The country risk reached 513 basis points, the lowest in the Milei era.

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Argentine stocks and bonds closed lower on Tuesday, April 7, aligning with international markets hit by Donald Trump's ultimatum to Iran. Wall Street saw losses, and oil prices topped US$110 per barrel. Country risk rose to 615 basis points per J.P. Morgan.

Argentina's Central Bank of the Republic (BCRA) purchased US$48 million in foreign currency on March 27, raising year-to-date acquisitions since January to US$4.037 billion. Gross international reserves reached US$43.712 billion, up US$176 million from the previous day.

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The dollar exchange rate has fallen by $55 since the start of the year, despite the Central Bank's purchases adding over US$1,600 million to its reserves. Financial quotations are also losing ground in this context.

 

 

 

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