Indonesians delay car purchases, opt for gold investments

Global economic uncertainty is influencing Indonesian shopping behavior, with some people holding back on car spending and redirecting funds to gold as a safer investment. Economist Joshua Pardede notes that economic recovery has not been evenly felt, particularly among the middle class.

Jakarta, VIVA - Global economic uncertainty is beginning to affect Indonesian shopping behavior, including decisions on vehicle purchases. Instead of allocating funds for major consumption like cars, some people are now choosing to hold back spending and redirect it to investment instruments considered safer, such as gold.

Economist Joshua Pardede views this phenomenon as closely related to the economy that has not fully recovered, particularly among the middle class group that has been the backbone of the national automotive market. “If we liken the economy to a car, the engine is actually running, but not yet fully gassed. That means economic activity is underway, but not fully recovered,” said Joshua in the Senayan area, Central Jakarta, Friday, March 6, 2026.

According to him, Indonesia's economic growth has shown an improvement trend in recent years, but this recovery has not been felt evenly by the public, especially the middle class who are more sensitive to economic changes. In such situations, people tend to be more cautious in making financial decisions, especially for purchases of high-value items like cars or property.

Joshua explained that global uncertainty, including geopolitical conflicts and world economic fluctuations, also influences consumer psychology. “When the global situation is uncertain, many people end up holding their money. They delay purchases of big items like cars or property,” he said.

Funds previously intended for consumption are instead diverted to gold, which is seen as more resilient amid economic turmoil. This phenomenon has affected the automotive market dynamics in recent years, with vehicle sales still moving but not as aggressive as the pre-pandemic period. Nevertheless, the prospects for the national automotive industry remain positive in the medium to long term, supported by Indonesia's large market potential and relatively low car ownership rates compared to other Southeast Asian countries.

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Indonesian businesspeople in Jakarta react with concern to rising oil prices and inflation risks from the Iran-Israel conflict fallout, as monitored by Bank Indonesia.
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Indonesian Businesses Brace for Iran-Israel Conflict Fallout

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Following US-Israeli strikes on Iran—detailed in prior coverage—that killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei and escalated Middle East tensions with oil and gold surges, Indonesian businesses are implementing short-term risk mitigations amid rising costs, while Bank Indonesia monitors inflation risks.

The rupiah's slide to Rp17,500 per US dollar is hitting credit car buyers hardest. Cheap cars and LCGC models are the segments most exposed to possible price and installment rises.

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Despite escalating geopolitical tensions from the Middle East war, gold prices have declined, countering its traditional safe-haven status. Traders attribute this to a broad risk-off sentiment, a strengthening US dollar, and profit-taking following prior gains. Experts view the drop as a temporary adjustment, with long-term support for precious metals intact.

Despite the ongoing war in West Asia battering global markets, gold prices in domestic and global markets are down around 27% from their January peak. Even after a nearly 2% rally over the last couple of days, high crude oil prices are fueling inflation fears, curbing safe-haven demand for gold. The US dollar has emerged as the preferred safe asset.

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In the ongoing West Asia conflict—now including heightened Iran-US tensions—gold prices were nearly flat on Friday but headed for a 2% weekly loss. Surging oil prices continue to drive inflation fears and expectations of prolonged high interest rates, tempering safe-haven demand.

The US and Israeli strikes on Iran, which killed supreme leader Ali Khamenei, have led to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and a surge in oil and gold prices. This escalation is threatening South Africa's inflation control efforts and interest rate cuts. While higher oil prices pose risks, rising gold prices offer some economic benefits.

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Analysts forecast accelerated growth for the global luxury sector in 2026, with China’s consumer spending rebound as a key driver despite challenges from a volatile property market and oil shocks from the war in Iran. HSBC, Deutsche Bank and BNP Paribas predict global sales growth of 5.5 to 6 per cent.

 

 

 

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