US retail sales fall 0.2% in January, less than expected

US retail sales declined by 0.2% in January, marking a slowdown from December's flat performance but outperforming economists' forecasts of a 0.3% drop. Core sales excluding autos remained unchanged. Year-over-year, sales rose by 3.2%.

The US Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report indicated that headline retail sales slipped 0.2% in January. This figure represents a step down from December's 0.0% reading, yet it was milder than the anticipated 0.3% decline.

Core retail sales, which exclude automobiles, were flat at 0.0% for January, matching December's level but falling short of expectations for a 0.1% increase. Despite the monthly dip, retail sales showed resilience on an annual basis, climbing 3.2% compared to the previous year.

The report highlights a cautious consumer spending environment, with the less severe drop suggesting underlying strength amid economic uncertainties. Jennifer Nash, author of the analysis, noted that consumer spending was down less than feared based on the Census Bureau data.

This data provides insight into early 2026 economic trends, reflecting adjustments in purchasing behavior following the holiday season.

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News illustration of steady U.S. February CPI data at 2.4% amid expected oil price surges from geopolitical tensions.
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February CPI holds steady above Fed's target

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The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Consumer Price Index for February 2026 rose 0.3% month-over-month and remained at 2.4% year-over-year, matching economist expectations. Core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased 0.2% monthly and stayed at 2.5% annually. While inflation showed stability before the recent U.S.-Israel-Iran war, surging oil prices are expected to push future readings higher.

The volume of retail sales in Brazil rose 0.4% in January 2026 compared to December 2025, according to data released by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) on Wednesday (March 11). Over the past 12 months, growth stood at 1.6%. The survey highlights gains in sectors like pharmaceuticals and clothing, but declines in office equipment and fuels.

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Existing home sales in the United States fell 3.6% in March after a brief rebound the previous month. The National Association of Realtors reported a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 3.98 million units, the lowest since last June. NAR Chief Economist Dr. Lawrence Yun attributed the slowdown to lower consumer confidence and softer job growth.

China's consumer price index rose 0.8 percent in the first two months of 2026, driven by a surge in spending during an extended Chinese New Year holiday. However, analysts remain concerned about long-term deflation risks.

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New data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics shows consumer prices increased by 2.4% in January, below expectations, while average hourly earnings grew 3.7% over the past year. The Trump administration highlighted these trends as evidence of improving affordability under its policies. Private-sector job growth exceeded 170,000 in the month.

Colombia's manufacturing production rose 1.4% in February 2026 compared to the previous year, but real sales fell 2.5%, according to Dane data. Andi president Bruce Mac Master said the figures show stagnation and that the sector has yet to take off. Employed personnel dropped 0.4%.

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Core inflation in Tokyo slowed to a 15-month low in January due to gasoline subsidies and easing food price pressures, offering some relief to consumers. Yet an underlying gauge excluding fresh food and fuel remained above the Bank of Japan's 2% target, indicating continued progress toward sustainable price growth.

 

 

 

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