US retail sales fall 0.2% in January, less than expected

US retail sales declined by 0.2% in January, marking a slowdown from December's flat performance but outperforming economists' forecasts of a 0.3% drop. Core sales excluding autos remained unchanged. Year-over-year, sales rose by 3.2%.

The US Census Bureau's Advance Retail Sales Report indicated that headline retail sales slipped 0.2% in January. This figure represents a step down from December's 0.0% reading, yet it was milder than the anticipated 0.3% decline.

Core retail sales, which exclude automobiles, were flat at 0.0% for January, matching December's level but falling short of expectations for a 0.1% increase. Despite the monthly dip, retail sales showed resilience on an annual basis, climbing 3.2% compared to the previous year.

The report highlights a cautious consumer spending environment, with the less severe drop suggesting underlying strength amid economic uncertainties. Jennifer Nash, author of the analysis, noted that consumer spending was down less than feared based on the Census Bureau data.

This data provides insight into early 2026 economic trends, reflecting adjustments in purchasing behavior following the holiday season.

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Split-image illustration contrasting South Korea's rising industrial output from semiconductors with sharp retail sales decline, featuring factory production and empty malls.
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Industrial output rises 0.9% in November; retail sales post sharpest fall in 21 months

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South Korea's industrial output grew 0.9 percent in November, driven by strong semiconductor production, while retail sales fell 3.3 percent, the sharpest drop in 21 months. Data from the Ministry of Data and Statistics attributes the retail decline to the fading effects of the Chuseok holiday and base effects. Cumulative retail sales for January to November rose 0.4 percent, suggesting a possible positive annual figure.

U.S. employment rose by just 50,000 jobs in December, missing economist expectations, amid losses in key sectors like retail and manufacturing. The unemployment rate fell to 4.4%, while wage growth held steady at 3.8% year-over-year. Businesses cited uncertainty from AI investments and tariffs as reasons for cautious hiring.

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China's consumer price index rose 0.2 percent year on year in January, missing market expectations, according to the National Bureau of Statistics. This marked the fourth consecutive monthly increase, though at a slower pace than December's 0.8 percent rise. Core inflation, excluding food and energy, showed a moderate upward trend amid recovering consumer demand.

Wall Street's main indices show moderate gains in a low-volatility session, as investors digest retail sales data below expectations and await Wednesday's employment report.

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Core consumer prices in Tokyo rose 2.3 percent year-on-year in December, slowing from 2.8 percent in November but staying above the Bank of Japan's 2 percent target. The figure fell short of market expectations of 2.5 percent, triggering yen weakness. As a leading indicator for nationwide trends, the data will factor into the BOJ's next policy meeting.

South Korea's consumer prices rose 2 percent year-on-year in January, marking the slowest pace in five months. The slowdown was partly due to stable petroleum product prices, as international crude oil prices fell, according to government data. However, prices for some agricultural and livestock products continued to surge sharply.

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Tariffs may ebb and supply chains may detour, but US shoppers and giants like Walmart and Amazon still rely heavily on Chinese goods. At the National Retail Federation (NRF) showcase, attendees expressed more optimism for the year ahead.

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