BOK flags heightened uncertainty in Fed policy path amid Middle East tensions

Bank of Korea Deputy Governor Yoo Sang-dai stated that uncertainty over the US Federal Reserve's rate path has deepened following the latest FOMC decision to hold benchmark rates at 3.5-3.75% for a second consecutive meeting, amid persistent Middle East instability. The BOK will monitor risks closely and act if needed to stabilize markets.

Yoo made the remarks Thursday at a market assessment meeting, noting the FOMC outcome and external risks like ongoing Middle East tensions have amplified policy uncertainty. The Fed maintained its projection of one rate cut this year. Fed Chair Jerome Powell highlighted surging oil prices as adding to inflation pressures, urging caution on future easing.

This hold follows earlier rate reductions, including a quarter-point cut to the current range late last year. Yoo pledged: 'We will remain on high alert and closely monitor internal and external risk factors and their impact on markets and the economy,' ready to deploy timely stabilization measures if required.

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Bank of Korea Governor announces steady 2.5% interest rate amid Middle East war uncertainties.
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Bank of Korea holds key rate at 2.5% for seventh straight meeting amid Middle East war

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South Korea's Bank of Korea unanimously kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 2.5 percent on April 10, marking the seventh consecutive hold since July 2025 amid high uncertainty from the Middle East war, which has fueled inflation risks, growth slowdowns, and won weakness. Governor Rhee Chang-yong noted the won could strengthen quickly if tensions ease. The next policy meeting is May 28.

The Bank of Korea faces mounting pressure for monetary tightening after a spike in global oil prices triggered by Middle East conflict. Markets increasingly expect the benchmark rate to reach 3 percent by year-end.

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The Bank of Japan on April 28 kept its benchmark interest rate at 0.75% for the second consecutive meeting, as the war in Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and spiked oil prices. The policy board voted 6-3, signaling potential hawkishness ahead.

The Federal Reserve left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% on Wednesday in the first policy decision under new Chair Kevin Warsh. Policymakers signaled a more hawkish stance by raising projections for rates and inflation through 2028. Bitcoin and major stock indexes slipped after the announcement.

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South Korea's Finance Minister Koo Yun-cheol said on Thursday that volatility in financial and foreign exchange markets has "somewhat eased" following a two-week ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The statement came after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a suspension of strikes on Iran, which led South Korean stocks to surge nearly 7 percent on Wednesday and the Korean won to strengthen sharply against the U.S. dollar. The government pledged to remain vigilant in maintaining macroeconomic stability.

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