Global oil prices surge ahead of EPRA's July review

Global oil prices have risen sharply due to tensions between the United States and Iran, raising concerns for Kenyan consumers ahead of the next pump price review.

Brent crude, a key benchmark for Kenya's petroleum imports, climbed more than 3 per cent this week to above KSh9,823 (USD76) a barrel. The increase followed U.S. military strikes on Iran after Washington accused Tehran of attacks on commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.

U.S. Central Command confirmed the strikes. Iran has not claimed responsibility for the vessel attacks. The United States also cancelled a waiver on limited Iranian oil sales, which Iran's deputy foreign minister Vahid Jalalzadeh called a breach of last month's agreement.

Energy experts warn that supply disruptions through the Strait of Hormuz could last for months. The Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority is scheduled to review pump prices on July 14.

Kenya relies on imported crude. The government has directed EPRA to cut diesel prices by KSh10 per litre in Nairobi, bringing them to roughly KSh222.86. It spent over KSh28.2 billion on fuel subsidies between April and May and reduced VAT on petroleum products from 16 per cent to 8 per cent.

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Three weeks after Iran's Strait of Hormuz blockade began, oil prices surged another 8% above $100 a barrel as US-Iran peace talks collapsed and the US Navy imposed its own blockade to curb Iranian exports. The escalation heightens global supply fears, with President Trump warning of sustained high fuel prices through November's midterm elections.

Global crude oil prices fell more than 12 percent this week, prompting expectations of possible relief at Kenyan fuel pumps in the coming weeks. The decline followed a preliminary ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran. Kenya imports most of its petroleum and remains sensitive to movements in international markets.

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The Energy and Petroleum Regulatory Authority says Kenyan motorists must wait 30 to 45 days before recent declines in global oil prices appear at the pump. EPRA Petroleum and Gas Director Edward Kinyua attributed the lag to import processing and transport times.

The Kenya Ports Authority announced that a ship carrying Jet A1 fuel is expected to arrive at the Port of Mombasa on July 9. This comes seven days ahead of the next EPRA monthly fuel price review.

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Energy Cabinet Secretary Opiyo Wandayi has claimed President William Ruto directed EPRA to keep kerosene prices unchanged despite petrol and diesel hikes. The move aims to protect low-income households. The government also introduced a Ksh6.2 billion fuel subsidy and cut VAT on fuel.

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