Mixed fuel price movements seen by yearend

Motorists can expect fuel prices to increase next week amid geopolitical issues that may disrupt supply. Jetti Petroleum Inc. president Leo Bellas said gasoline prices are expected to be steady or increase by P0.10 per liter, while diesel prices are likely to go up by P0.30 to P0.50 per liter. The Department of Energy said kerosene prices are also expected to rise by P0.10 per liter.

In Manila, Philippines, oil experts have forecasted mixed movements in fuel prices next week due to global tensions. Jetti Petroleum Inc. president Leo Bellas stated that gasoline prices are expected to remain steady or rise by P0.10 per liter, while diesel prices are likely to increase by P0.30 to P0.50 per liter. The Department of Energy added that kerosene prices will also go up by P0.10 per liter.

These predictions are based on monitoring this week’s benchmark Mean of Platts Singapore and foreign exchange movements compared to last week. “Oil prices have been supported by geopolitical developments as the tougher US sanctions enforced on Venezuela and intensified attacks by Ukraine on Russian oil infrastructure have raised the risk of supply disruptions,” Bellas said.

Oil firms are expected to announce price changes on Monday, with adjustments taking effect on Tuesday. Earlier this week, oil companies reduced gasoline prices by P0.80 per liter, diesel by P1.30 per liter, and kerosene by P1.60 per liter. These shifts reflect ongoing global issues in the oil market, creating uncertainty for consumers.

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Oil companies raised fuel prices again on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, with diesel hikes up to P19.80 per liter. The increases stem from ongoing US-Iran tensions and global oil supply disruptions. This marks the 13th to 15th consecutive weekly rise.

Fuel prices in the Philippines are expected to decline again this week, though on a smaller scale, according to Department of Energy estimates. Diesel could fall by P8 to P10 per liter, gasoline by around P0.40 per liter or rise up to P1 per liter, and kerosene by P11 per liter.

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Oil companies raised gasoline and diesel prices on May 19 while lowering kerosene rates, citing renewed geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The Department of Energy set maximum adjustments to stabilize the market.

Updated industry estimates project even larger diesel cuts of P24 to P26 per liter and gasoline P2.50 to P3.50 per liter starting April 21, up from earlier P17-P19 projections, as the global oil war premium continues to unwind—extending relief from the April 14 rollbacks amid the 2026 fuel crisis.

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Oil companies in the Philippines began implementing steep fuel price cuts on Tuesday, June 2, with diesel falling by P9.26 per liter. The Department of Energy set the reductions for the week of June 2 to 8.

The Department of Energy welcomed progress in US-Iran peace talks but cautioned that restoring domestic fuel prices to pre-crisis levels could require six to 12 months. Officials emphasized that the situation now involves broader economic effects beyond oil supply.

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International gasoline prices have surged 74.7% since US and Israel attacks on Iran began on February 28, pushing Brent crude over $100 per barrel amid Strait of Hormuz risks. Colombia, after early-year dips, implemented a price hike on April 1, with experts warning of further adjustments amid global tensions.

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