La Niña

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Indonesia's Meteorology, Climatology, and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts most regions will enter an early dry season in April 2026, influenced by the end of a weak La Niña and potential El Niño.

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A report from NOAA's Climate Prediction Center states that the rains marking early 2026 in Colombia will continue at least until April, driven by La Niña's shift to a neutral phase. Experts warn of precipitation 41.6% more intense than in March 2025, per Ideam. In the second half of the year, there is a 50-60% chance of El Niño returning, potentially decreasing rains and raising temperatures.

The La Niña phenomenon will return with moderate intensity, bringing a drier winter with frosts to Mexico in the 2025-2026 season. Authorities like the National Meteorological Service estimate 48 cold fronts, slightly below the historical average. While temperate days are expected, intense cold episodes are anticipated in various regions.

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The World Meteorological Organization has released data indicating that the La Niña climate phenomenon is likely to return between September and November 2025. Despite this cooling effect, global temperatures are expected to remain above average due to ongoing human-induced climate change. The UN Environment Programme emphasized the need for increased climate action to mitigate rising temperatures.

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