Illustration of Argentina's falling country risk index due to US-Iran agreement, featuring flag, chart, and Strait of Ormuz.
Illustration of Argentina's falling country risk index due to US-Iran agreement, featuring flag, chart, and Strait of Ormuz.
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Argentina country risk falls to 425 points after US-Iran pact

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JP Morgan’s country risk index fell on Monday, June 15, to 425 basis points, its lowest level since April 2018. The drop followed the announcement of a preliminary agreement between the United States and Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

On the national holiday marking General Martín Miguel de Güemes, Argentine sovereign bonds in New York rose an average of 1 percent. The country risk index opened at 437 points and closed at 425, a daily decline of 2.74 percent.

President Donald Trump announced on social media the authorization for the “toll-free opening” of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing scheduled for Friday, June 19, in Switzerland. Iran’s Fars agency reported that transits will be exempt from charges for 60 days.

Economy Minister Luis Caputo welcomed the news on X and reiterated that Argentina will wait for a lower risk premium before returning to voluntary debt markets. “When the macroeconomy is in order, the passage of time works in our favor,” he wrote.

On Wall Street, the S&P 500 rose 1.9 percent and the Nasdaq 100 gained 3.1 percent, while West Texas Intermediate crude fell 5.5 percent to 80.23 dollars per barrel.

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Initial reactions on X focus on the drop in Argentina's country risk to 425 points due to the US-Iran agreement reopening the Strait of Ormuz. Media outlets and users note market optimism with rising bonds and falling oil prices. Some posts link the improvement to government policies and restored credibility, while others simply report the historical low since 2018.

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Illustration depicting worried traders on Argentina's stock exchange amid rising country risk and global market volatility.
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Argentina's country risk rises to 549 basis points amid global market caution

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Argentina's country risk index, measured by JP Morgan, closed at 549 basis points on Thursday, April 23, 2026, up 14 units. Local markets fell in line with Wall Street volatility and US-Iran geopolitical tensions. Sovereign bonds dropped an average of 0.7%.

Local assets traded mixed on Monday, June 15, driven by Argentina's sovereign rating upgrade and the United States-Iran agreement.

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Argentina's country risk, measured by JP Morgan, closed at 557 basis points on Friday, April 24, 2026, according to Rava Bursátil data. The rise reflects investor caution amid Middle East geopolitical tensions and local macroeconomic doubts.

Argentina's country risk closed at 511 basis points on Tuesday, May 12, 2026, up 15 points from the previous close.

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Argentine stocks fell and dollar bonds rose on Thursday, April 9, amid doubts about the sustainability of the US-Iran truce. ADRs posted losses of up to 5.5%, as oil prices neared US$100 per barrel again. Wall Street also closed lower.

S&P Global Ratings upgraded Argentina's sovereign credit rating from CCC+ to B- on Friday. Country risk closed at 437 basis points, the lowest level since May 2018.

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Wall Street and Mexico's BMV stock markets closed sharply higher on Wednesday, reacting to Tuesday's post-market announcement of a two-week truce between the US and Iran—including negotiations and gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz—following President Trump's ultimatum. The Dow Jones surged 2.85%, while the BMV's IPC climbed 2.47%. The Mexican peso strengthened up to 1.9% against the dollar.

 

 

 

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