China’s central bank names capital market stability as 2026 priority

The People’s Bank of China has named continued stability of capital markets a priority for 2026 amid a global sell-off driven by worries over the Iran war. The statement was published on Thursday as the Shanghai Composite Index dropped 1.39 per cent.

The People’s Bank of China named the continued stability of the country’s capital markets as a priority for 2026, a goal taking on greater significance as global markets are tested by the reverberations of the escalating US-Israel war on Iran. Published on Thursday, the statement arrived at a turbulent moment for Chinese equities: by market close that day, the benchmark Shanghai Composite Index had dropped 1.39 per cent—hovering just above the 4,000-point mark—with nearly 5,000 stocks on mainland China’s exchanges ending the day at a loss. “For all central banks, there can be an adverse scenario where a more persistent supply shock feeds through to underlying inflation while still weighing on demand,” said Jennifer McKeown, chief global economist at Capital Economics, in a note on Tuesday. She noted that a gradual tightening of policy, complemented by targeted fiscal support for households and firms, is typically the most appropriate way to anchor inflation expectations without further suppressing economic demand. Keywords listed include Pan Gongsheng, Middle East, and US.

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Illustration of Asian stock traders reacting to falling markets amid US-Iran tensions and rising oil prices.
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Asia shares slip amid escalating US-Iran tensions

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Global markets tumbled as US-Iran tensions and prolonged Israeli conflict drove oil prices higher. Asian shares and futures dipped, with investors preparing for extended fighting. The inflationary pressures have reduced expectations for central bank rate cuts.

China's securities regulator chief Wu Qing pledged on Friday to advance capital market opening to a higher level and reform the STAR Market and ChiNext to better support technological innovation. Representatives from foreign financial institutions noted that since the 2024 nine-point guideline, China's capital market has significantly boosted its appeal to foreign investors. They suggested enhancing policy continuity and aligning with international standards.

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Conflict in the Middle East and global turbulence following US-Israeli strikes against Iran have prompted foreign investors to seek certainty in China. Speakers at the China Development Forum highlighted this trend.

China's first batch of hard economic activity data for 2026 exceeded downbeat forecasts, reports Seeking Alpha. Analysts note more work is required to support domestic growth amid rising inflation risks.

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Premier Li Qiang delivered the government work report to China's National People's Congress on March 5, 2026, setting a 2026 GDP growth target of 4.5-5% and outlining priorities for the 15th Five-Year Plan (2026-2030), including technological innovation, economic security, public well-being, energy production and decarbonisation. The report announced 20 growth targets across economy, technology, healthcare and more, plus 109 major projects in six areas—up from 102 previously—to support doubling 2020 per capita GDP by 2035.

An opinion piece in the South China Morning Post states Beijing's plans assure steady, high-quality growth and stable relations, with Hong Kong taking a bigger role in national development. It highlights a shift to a growth target range as reflecting strategic flexibility.

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Moody’s Ratings affirmed China’s A1 sovereign credit rating on Monday and upgraded the outlook to stable. The Ministry of Finance welcomed the decision, stating it recognizes China’s macroeconomic resilience and fiscal strength amid external shocks. Economists attribute this to technological innovation and robust policy support.

 

 

 

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