Oil prices sustain rally above 2026 budget, boost naira

Nigeria’s economic outlook gains support from rising global oil prices and stronger foreign exchange inflows, which are boosting the naira.

Nigeria’s economy is benefiting from sustained high oil prices that exceed the benchmarks set for the 2026 budget. This development, combined with increased foreign exchange inflows, has provided a lift to the naira currency. The rally in global oil prices is renewing optimism for the country’s fiscal prospects amid ongoing economic challenges.

As a major oil exporter, Nigeria relies heavily on petroleum revenues to fund its budget and stabilize its currency. The current trends suggest potential improvements in foreign reserves and reduced pressure on the exchange rate. However, experts caution that sustained benefits will depend on consistent production levels and global demand.

This positive momentum comes at a time when the government is planning for the upcoming fiscal year, with oil prices playing a pivotal role in revenue projections.

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Nigerian businesses anticipate a stronger naira and enhanced economic activity heading into 2026. This optimism stems from building confidence in the economy. The outlook reflects hopes for improved conditions after recent challenges.

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Nigeria's external reserves have risen 10.8% year-over-year to $45.28 billion. This growth reflects strengthening foreign exchange buffers.

JP Morgan released its first report of the year on global markets strategies, highlighting a potential rebound in Venezuelan oil supply to 1.2 million barrels per day in coming months. For Colombia, it forecasts 2.8% GDP growth this year and 6.1% inflation by year-end. The report also covers geopolitical tensions and the US labor market.

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Inaasahan ng mga motorista na tataas ang presyo ng gasolina sa susunod na linggo dahil sa mga isyung heopolitical na maaaring magdisrupt sa suplay. Ayon kay Leo Bellas ng Jetti Petroleum Inc., maaaring manatiling matatag o tumaas ng P0.10 bawat litro ang gasolina, habang ang diesel ay P0.30 hanggang P0.50. Sinabi rin ng Department of Energy na tataas ng P0.10 ang kerosene.

Inaasahan ang bahagyang pagbaba sa presyo ng diesel sa susunod na linggo dahil sa bagong pag-asa sa ceasefire sa Ukraine-Russia na nagpapagaan sa global na alalahanin sa supply. Ayon sa mga eksperto sa industriya ng langis, maaaring magbaba ng P0.10 hanggang P0.30 bawat litro para sa diesel at humigit-kumulang P0.65 para sa kerosene.

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Magkakaiba ang direksyon ng mga presyo ng gasolina ngayong Lunes dahil sa mga kamakailang pangyayaring geopolitical na nagpa-alarma sa mga merkado ng langis sa buong mundo. Aabot sa P0.20 kada litro ang pagtaas sa diesel at P0.10 sa kerosene, habang bababa ng P0.10 ang gasolina ayon sa mga pangunahing kumpanya ng langis.

 

 

 

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