Paladin becomes top individual choice in Kentucky Derby future wager

Pool 4 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager opens Friday with Grade 2 Remsen Stakes winner Paladin as the 8-1 morning line favorite among individual horses. The overall favorite is all other 3-year-olds at 4-1 odds. This shift follows the removal of Eclipse Award champion Ted Noffey from the Derby trail due to bone bruising.

The Kentucky Derby Future Wager Pool 4 begins Friday at noon EST and runs through Sunday at 6 p.m. EST, offering $2 win and exacta wagering on 39 individual 3-year-olds and the 'all others' category. Paladin, who won the Grade 2 Remsen Stakes, takes over as the leading individual choice at 8-1 odds. Owned by a partnership including Mrs. John Magnier, Michael Tabor, Derrick Smith, Peter Brant, Brook T. Smith, and Summer Wind Equine, Paladin is set to compete in Saturday's Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds. Other entrants in that race included in the pool are Carson Street, Chip Honcho, Courting, and Golden Tempo.

This pool marks a change in the betting landscape after Ted Noffey, the Eclipse Award champion, was sidelined by bone bruising. Noffey had closed as the individual favorite in the previous three pools, with odds of 10-1, 7-1, and 6-1. In Pool 3, Paladin finished as the 14-1 third choice, behind all other 3-year-olds at 7-2 and Noffey at 6-1.

Churchill Downs officials emphasize that there are no refunds in the wager. If a horse suffers an injury, illness, or other issue preventing participation in the Kentucky Derby, betting on that individual will be suspended immediately. Future pools are scheduled for March 13-15 (Pool 5, including the Kentucky Oaks Future Wager) and April 2-4 (Pool 6). The pool coincides with the start of the road to the Kentucky Derby championship series.

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Dynamic photo illustration of top horses Nearly and Incredibolt racing in the 2026 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park.
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Experts preview competitive 2026 Holy Bull Stakes field

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The 2026 Holy Bull Stakes, a key Kentucky Derby prep race, takes place on January 31 at Gulfstream Park in Hallandale Beach, Florida. This Grade 3 event over 1 1/16 miles offers 20 qualifying points to the winner among a field of seven three-year-olds. Top contenders include favorite Nearly at 9-5 odds and graded winner Incredibolt at 3-1.

Betting analysis highlights unproven horses like Iron Honor and Six Speed as strong value options in pool 4 of the Kentucky Derby Future Wager. Proven stakes winners such as Golden Tempo and Paladin remain favorites but offer limited betting appeal this early. Upcoming races like the Risen Star could influence future prices.

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The Grade 2 Risen Star Stakes at Fair Grounds features a competitive field of eight 3-year-olds vying for 50 qualifying points toward the 2026 Kentucky Derby. Undefeated horses Golden Tempo and Paladin stand out as top contenders among winners of recent prep races. The $500,000 race is set for Saturday at 6:30 p.m. EST.

Expert handicapper Marcus Hersh from Daily Racing Form has analyzed the February 17 racing card at Fair Grounds, highlighting his top picks for each race during the Mardi Gras season. His best bet is Canal Street in the third race. The selections offer insights into horse performances based on recent form and track conditions.

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Commandment enters as the 2-1 morning-line favorite for Saturday's Grade 2 Fountain of Youth Stakes at Gulfstream Park, a key Kentucky Derby prep race offering qualifying points. The 1 1/16-mile event features a field of 11 three-year-olds, including undefeated Napoleon Solo and speedy Solitude Dude. Trainer Brad Cox views the race as a stepping stone toward the Derby for his promising colt.

Promising colt Buetane will skip the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park due to a canceled flight from California. The $1.15 million Tiz the Law son, trained by Bob Baffert, was set to make his sophomore debut in the Kentucky Derby prep but now eyes the Southwest Stakes at Oaklawn. The race, offering key qualifying points, proceeds with a strong field led by Street Sense winner Incredibolt.

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Nearly secured a convincing victory in the Grade 3 Holy Bull Stakes at Gulfstream Park, earning 20 points toward the Kentucky Derby. The 3-year-old colt, trained by Todd Pletcher and ridden by John Velazquez, dominated the field by 5 3/4 lengths. The win highlights Nearly's potential on the Derby trail following a strong stretch-out to two turns.

 

 

 

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