AfD extends lead over Union in latest polls

The AfD is clearly ahead of the CDU/CSU in current opinion polls and is approaching the 30 percent mark.

In a YouGov survey the AfD reaches 29 percent and is thus nine points ahead of the Union, which falls to 20 percent. The Forsa institute sees the AfD unchanged at 27 percent in the RTL/ntv trend barometer ahead of the Union at 21 percent.

The Greens follow with 14 to 15 percent, the SPD reaches 12 percent. The FDP is at 5 percent, while the BSW remains below the five percent threshold.

Other institutes such as Insa and the Forschungsgruppe Wahlen also confirm the AfD's lead in recent weeks.

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News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
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AfD leads Union by five points in latest poll

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The latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa shows the AfD at 27 percent, five points ahead of the Union at 22 percent. The Union records its worst result since December 2021. Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has fallen to a low of 15 percent.

The AfD has reached its highest-ever score of 29 percent in a new survey. The union falls to 22 percent, widening the gap further.

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In Rhineland-Palatinate's state election, the CDU won with 31 percent ahead of the SPD's 25.9 percent, ending 35 years of opposition. The AfD achieved its best result in a western German state at 19.5 percent, becoming the third strongest force. A grand coalition under CDU leader Gordon Schnieder is likely.

The CDU has published a 34-page brochure titled „Abstieg für Deutschland. Keine Alternative.“ accusing the AfD of endangering democracy. The AfD responded sharply with videos and a criminal complaint.

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Following the CDU's victory in Rhineland-Palatinate's state election, party leader Gordon Schnieder has been mandated to lead exploratory talks with the SPD's Alexander Schweitzer on forming a grand coalition, as alliances with the AfD remain off the table.

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