News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
News illustration of AfD leading Union by 5 points (27% vs 22%) in German polls, with Chancellor Merz at 15% approval.
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AfD leads Union by five points in latest poll

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The latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa shows the AfD at 27 percent, five points ahead of the Union at 22 percent. The Union records its worst result since December 2021. Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has fallen to a low of 15 percent.

Berlin. The Alternative for Germany (AfD), classified as right-extremist in parts, leads the latest RTL/ntv Trendbarometer by Forsa with 27 percent (+1) ahead of the Union (CDU/CSU) at 22 percent (-2). This is the Union's worst result since December 2021.

Die Linke reaches 12 percent, tying with the SPD. The Greens hold at 15 percent, the FDP at four percent, and other parties at eight percent.

For the first time, the AfD leads in perceived political competence on Germany's problems: 14 percent of respondents see it as most capable, ahead of the Union at 13 percent. The Greens get eight percent, SPD and Linke five percent each; 52 percent trust no party.

Approval for Chancellor Friedrich Merz has dropped to 15 percent, with 83 percent dissatisfied. CDU parliamentary group leader Jens Spahn calls for better coalition cooperation.

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X discussions celebrate AfD's five-point lead over Union in the RTL/ntv Forsa Trendbarometer poll at 27% to 22%, with low approval for Merz at 15%. AfD supporters predict further growth and attribute Union's decline to leadership failures. Neutral poll trackers report results factually, while some users note limited media attention.

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Realistic illustration of a tied Greens-CDU poll at 28% each with 32% undecided, ahead of Baden-Württemberg state election.
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Greens and CDU tied in poll ahead of Baden-Württemberg state election

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Two days before the state election in Baden-Württemberg, polls indicate a neck-and-neck race between the Greens and the CDU. Both parties are at 28 percent, with 32 percent of respondents still undecided. The survey suggests possible shifts until election day.

Twelve days before the state election in Baden-Württemberg, an Insa poll shows the Greens at 22 percent just ahead of the AfD at 20 percent, with the CDU leading at 28 percent. In a campaign debate, the top candidates presented their plans with a touch of humor. The parties agreed on reducing bureaucracy and strengthening the economy.

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In Rhineland-Palatinate's state election, the CDU won with 31 percent ahead of the SPD's 25.9 percent, ending 35 years of opposition. The AfD achieved its best result in a western German state at 19.5 percent, becoming the third strongest force. A grand coalition under CDU leader Gordon Schnieder is likely.

Marcel Fratzscher, president of the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), has urged entrepreneurs to keep their distance from the AfD. He views the party as a threat to the economy, prosperity, and social cohesion. He made these comments in an interview with Handelsblatt.

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German Chancellor Friedrich Merz emphasized the stability of his black-red coalition during an ARD interview with Caren Miosga on Sunday evening (May 3, 2026). He urged the SPD to show compromise and ruled out alternatives like tolerance by the AfD. Merz openly addressed discontent within the Union and the limits of his patience.

The CDU held its first major federal party congress since the election in Stuttgart over the weekend. Poll numbers for Chancellor Friedrich Merz and the Union are currently poor. There is criticism within the party about Merz's leadership.

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Reiner Haseloff, former Minister President of Saxony-Anhalt, attributed the AfD's strength to distrust in established parties in an interview with Süddeutsche Zeitung. He warned of the consequences of a potential AfD government after the state election on September 6. A coalition with the AfD is out of the question for the CDU, as it aims to destroy the party.

 

 

 

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