Illustration of Charles Schwab partnering with Cboe to launch S&P 500 prediction markets with yes-or-no options contracts.
Illustration of Charles Schwab partnering with Cboe to launch S&P 500 prediction markets with yes-or-no options contracts.
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Charles Schwab plans S&P 500 prediction market launch

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Charles Schwab is partnering with Cboe Global Markets to offer yes-or-no options contracts on the S&P 500. The move marks the brokerage's entry into prediction markets, with rollout expected in the coming months.

The planned contracts would function like binary options. Customers could receive a fixed payout or nothing based on whether the S&P 500 closes above or below a preset target level.

Schwab and Cboe are also discussing a feature called Plus Zone that would allow partial payouts when predictions are close to the outcome. The firms may expand the offering to other financial benchmarks.

The brokerage intends to limit contracts to events with objectively verifiable financial outcomes. It will avoid areas such as politics or sports.

This launch would position Schwab alongside firms including Coinbase and Robinhood that have already introduced prediction market products.

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Initial reactions on X to Charles Schwab's S&P 500 prediction markets partnership with Cboe include neutral news shares, bullish takes on retail access to event contracts, skepticism over the lack of blockchain integration despite Schwab's crypto push, notes on potential stock upside with regulatory risks, and humorous contrasts with meme trading.

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Illustration of CFTC officials discussing prediction market regulations in a conference room.
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CFTC proposes first rules for prediction markets

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The Commodity Futures Trading Commission issued its initial proposed rulemaking on prediction markets Wednesday. The rules aim to clarify which event contracts qualify as being in the public interest under federal law.

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has extended its review period for exchange-traded funds tied to prediction markets. These ETFs from Roundhill, Bitwise, and GraniteShares track odds on political races and economic indicators. The agency is seeking further clarity on their structure and disclosures.

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Investment firm Bernstein expects the 2026 FIFA World Cup to generate billions in volume for prediction markets. The 48-team tournament is seen as a major catalyst for platforms including Coinbase and Robinhood.

A new platform called Myriad allows users to make predictions on events and markets. The service launched recently with a guide for beginners.

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Bybit has introduced its IPO Express service to provide tokenized shares in the upcoming SpaceX public offering. The Dubai-based crypto exchange is the second to offer such access after Kraken. Eligible users worldwide can subscribe during a registration period from June 7 to 11.

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission has issued a no-action letter providing regulatory relief to prediction market operators. The measure eases compliance with swap data reporting rules for fully collateralized event contracts.

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U.S. President Donald Trump called it critically important for the CFTC to retain exclusive authority over prediction markets in a Truth Social post late Tuesday afternoon.

 

 

 

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