France and EU risk paying billions to Russian oligarchs

A French institute's report warns that the European Union could be forced to pay tens of billions of euros to oligarchs and companies close to the Kremlin through old economic treaties. The EU has already provided nearly 60 billion euros in military aid to Ukraine, but some sanctions are being challenged in court. These proceedings have a chance of succeeding.

The Veblen Institute for Economic Reforms released a 27-page note on Tuesday, December 9, titled 'Frozen Assets, Burning Complaints.' The document warns of the exploitation by Kremlin allies of old commercial treaties linking Europe to Russia. Following Russia's invasion of Ukraine, the EU, Ukraine, and about twenty other countries imposed economic sanctions against Moscow. These measures target companies and individuals tied to the regime and the war effort, including the seizure of villas, yachts, and the freezing of assets worth millions or billions of euros.

However, some Russian oligarchs are challenging these sanctions in court, citing these outdated bilateral agreements. The institute notes that such proceedings are ongoing and could force Europe to financially compensate these entities, potentially matching the aid given to Kyiv. As the EU has mobilized nearly 60 billion euros for military support to Ukraine, this risk could represent a major setback for European efforts against Russia.

The report emphasizes the need for caution, as these legal challenges might succeed and require substantial payments to pro-Kremlin actors, further complicating economic ties between Europe and Russia.

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U.S. officials at a press conference announcing further sanctions on Russian oil giants, with charts showing rising oil prices and maps of Russia and Ukraine, urging European action.
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U.S. readies further Russia sanctions after hitting Lukoil and Rosneft, presses Europe to act

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The Trump administration has prepared additional sanctions targeting Russia’s economy if President Vladimir Putin continues to stall on ending the war in Ukraine. The planning follows Wednesday’s sanctions on oil giants Lukoil and Rosneft, which helped push global oil prices higher, and comes as Washington urges European allies to intensify pressure on Moscow before escalating further.

25 of the 27 EU member states have decided to indefinitely ban the return of frozen Russian central bank funds to Russia. This move creates a foundation for potentially using the assets to support Ukraine. Hungary and Slovakia voted against it.

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Following the recent permanent freeze of Russian assets, EU leaders at the Brussels summit made progress toward using them to provide a 90 billion euro loan to Ukraine, with Belgium open to compromises under guarantees. Fallback to EU budget if needed. Mercosur trade deal delayed to January amid protests.

The US Senate is set to vote next week on the 'Sanctioning Russia Act 2025', which could impose up to 500% tariffs on countries buying energy from Russia, including India. The bill aims to increase economic pressure on Russia amid the Ukraine war. India, reliant on discounted Russian crude oil, faces potential trade disruptions.

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At the summit in Paris, representatives from 35 countries have concretized plans for an international protection force and binding security assurances for Ukraine following a possible ceasefire. The Paris Declaration provides for support in the event of a renewed Russian attack, including possible troop deployments. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz has signaled the involvement of German soldiers.

The Trump administration has circulated a 28-point draft plan to end the Russia‑Ukraine war that would require Kyiv to forgo NATO membership, recognize Russian control over occupied territories and accept limits on its armed forces, while opening the door to reconstruction funding and closer economic ties between Washington and Moscow. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has signaled deep concern and resistance over the terms, even as U.S. officials press for rapid progress, and European leaders publicly reaffirm that any settlement must respect Ukraine’s sovereignty.

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As President Donald Trump mediates discussions between Russia and Ukraine, several conservative policy experts describe the talks as a highly challenging diplomatic effort and argue that any settlement should both end the war and impose steep costs on Moscow to deter future aggression, while protecting core U.S. interests.

 

 

 

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