Renan Filho bets on works in Alagoas gubernatorial race

The race for the government of Alagoas enters a decisive phase with deadlines until April 3 for party affiliation and incompatibility. Minister Renan Filho (MDB) is betting on deliveries from the MDB cycle started in 2015, while Mayor JHC (PL) faces Bolsonarist pressure to align with Flávio Bolsonaro. A recent poll shows JHC leading with 47.6% against 40.9% for Renan Filho.

The contest for the government of Alagoas is taking on decisive contours as the April 3 deadline approaches for party affiliation and incompatibility for those intending to run for other positions. Renan Filho, Transportes Minister for the MDB and former state governor from 2015 to 2022 — during which he was elected senator —, positions himself as a candidate for the Palácio República dos Palmares, betting on the achievements of the MDB cycle he initiated.

Among the main banners, health investments stand out, such as the construction of the hospitals in Palmeira dos Índios, Coração Alagoano — a reference for cardiac transplants via SUS — and Hospital Metropolitano do Agreste in Arapiraca. Renan Filho has the support of President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, who even considered the minister as his running mate for the presidential ticket to draw the MDB into the alliance. The candidate is also close to Senator Renan Calheiros (MDB), his father and a congressional ally.

His potential main rival is Maceió Mayor João Henrique Caldas, known as JHC (PL). The central issue for JHC is whether he will draw closer to Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, the PL's presidential candidate and Lula's rival. Although it is not confirmed that JHC will run, Bolsonarism is expected to pressure him in the coming days. Disclosed notes from Flávio Bolsonaro state: “Talk until March 15” next to JHC's name. As an alternative, Deputy Alfredo Gaspar (União), rapporteur of the CPMI do INSS, is noted with: “the only one who will ask for votes for me”.

A December 2024 poll by Paraná Pesquisas shows JHC with 47.6% voting intentions against 40.9% for Renan Filho, with a 2.2 percentage point margin of error.

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Illustration of Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro in Datafolha poll by 10 points, with split portraits and poll chart.
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Datafolha poll shows Lula leading Flávio Bolsonaro by ten points

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A new Datafolha poll released yesterday shows Lula's lead over Flávio Bolsonaro rising to ten percentage points in the first round. The survey comes amid revelations about Flávio's involvement with former banker Daniel Vorcaro of Banco Master.

PL leaders met with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre on the night of May 5 to address the crisis in Rio state's succession following Cláudio Castro's resignation. The meeting came amid threats of congressional obstruction to pressure the STF. Alcolumbre urged caution and suggested pursuing dialogue.

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Fernando Haddad called Senator Flávio Bolsonaro 'Bolsonarinho' in a speech at the end of the PT congress in Brasília on Sunday (26). The São Paulo gubernatorial pre-candidate criticized the Bolsonaro family and urged Lula's campaign to go beyond reconstruction. PT president Edinho Silva said the anti-system discourse belongs to the left.

Senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) denied on May 1 striking a deal with Senate President Davi Alcolumbre to abandon the joint CPI on the Banco Master case in exchange for Congress overriding President Lula's veto on the Dosimetry Bill, which reduces sentences for coup attempt convicts like Jair Bolsonaro. This follows Congress's recent veto override, celebrated by rapporteur Paulinho da Força as a win against the government.

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Datafolha survey released on Friday (22) points to an advantage for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva over Flávio Bolsonaro in the presidential race.

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