Senate midterms enter final stretch under 100 days to election

With fewer than 100 days until Election Day in November, Democrats need to flip four Republican-held seats to gain control of the U.S. Senate. Republicans are defending their majority while facing an unpopular incumbent president and economic pressures from the Iran war and tariffs.

NPR political correspondent Mara Liasson described the contest as one of competing forces. Democrats hold advantages in voter enthusiasm and the low approval rating of President Trump, which stands below 40 percent. Republicans counter with stronger fundraising and redistricting gains that reduced competitive House districts.

Key Senate races remain fluid. In Michigan, the Democratic primary on August 4 pits centrist Representative Haley Stevens against progressive Abdul El-Sayed to replace retiring Senator Gary Peters. Maine Democrats replaced Graham Platner with Troy Jackson, who will challenge Republican Senator Susan Collins in a toss-up contest.

North Carolina offers Democrats their strongest pickup opportunity after Republican Senator Thom Tillis retired. Former Governor Roy Cooper leads Republican Michael Whatley in early polls for that open seat.

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Illustration of the difficult Democratic path in the 2026 Senate elections on a US map.
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Democrats’ 2026 Senate path runs through a difficult map, even with several plausible pickup targets

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Democrats see opportunities in a handful of Republican-held seats in 2026, but the Senate’s arithmetic means multiple wins could still fall short of a governing majority.

With 129 days left until the US midterm elections that will renew the House of Representatives and a third of the Senate.

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Democrats in Maine have selected former state Senate president Troy Jackson as their nominee for the U.S. Senate race. He will face Republican incumbent Susan Collins in the November midterms.

Eight Democrats are vying to replace Graham Platner as the party's nominee against Republican Sen. Susan Collins. The candidates filed by the Wednesday deadline and are scheduled to debate Thursday evening.

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Voters across Alabama, Georgia, Idaho, Kentucky, Oregon and Pennsylvania went to the polls Tuesday in the busiest primary day of the 2026 midterms so far.

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